Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 29/08, 14:45
Prediction: Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice
Team pages: Motor Lublin · Piast Gliwice
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.37Total
Motor Lublin2
Piast Gliwice1.37
1X2
Motor Lublin
Draw
Piast Gliwice
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Motor Lublin
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Piast Gliwice
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Motor Lublin
2–1–1
Piast Gliwice
(4 last)
- Piast Gliwice1-2Motor Lublin
- Motor Lublin0-0Piast Gliwice
- Motor Lublin1-4Piast Gliwice
- Piast Gliwice2-3Motor Lublin
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Motor Lublin (rating 1502 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Motor Lublin: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Motor Lublin | Piast Gliwice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.1 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 3.9 | 2.6 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Motor Lublin 2–1–1 Piast Gliwice
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Piast Gliwice | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Motor Lublin |
| 16/08/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Piast Gliwice |
| 09/05/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Piast Gliwice |
| 08/11/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Piast Gliwice | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Motor Lublin |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia Warsaw | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Cracovia Krakow | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8 |
| 4 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Pogon Szczecin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Widzew Lodz | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Wisla Krakow | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Slask Wroclaw | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 13 | Wisla Plock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 4 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Wieczysta Krakow | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 3 |
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Motor Lublin | Piast Gliwice |
|---|---|---|
| Korona Kielce | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| GKS Katowice | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Widzew Lodz | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Legia Warsaw | 0-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Lech Poznan | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Motor Lublin (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Motor Lublin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 16/08 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 26/04 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Piast Gliwice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 15/08 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 27/07 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/05 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 27/04 | Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Motor Lublin win (51%). Probabilities: Motor Lublin 51%, draw 24%, Piast Gliwice 25%.
How many goals are expected in Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?
The model expects 3.37 goals (Motor Lublin 2 · Piast Gliwice 1.37), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Motor Lublin vs Piast Gliwice?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.