Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 10/10, 14:45

Prediction: Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin

Team pages: Cracovia Krakow · Zaglebie Lubin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

Cracovia Krakow1.06

Zaglebie Lubin1.02

1X2

35% 33% 32%

Cracovia Krakow Draw Zaglebie Lubin

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Cracovia Krakow 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DDLDWWLLLL

Zaglebie Lubin 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWDDDWWL

Head-to-head

Cracovia Krakow 2–4–0 Zaglebie Lubin (6 last)

Zaglebie Lubin0-0Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow0-0Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin1-2Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow1-1Zaglebie Lubin
Zaglebie Lubin1-1Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow1-0Zaglebie Lubin

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zaglebie Lubin (rating 1459 vs 1507).
H2H favours Cracovia Krakow: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cracovia Krakow	Zaglebie Lubin
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/80/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.6	1.7 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.89

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:19

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Pinn 1.90
X	3.43 → 3.43	Pinn 3.43
2	4.18 → 4.18	Pinn 4.18

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
14:47 +692’	1.90	3.43	4.18

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cracovia Krakow 2–4–0 Zaglebie Lubin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Poland Ekstraklasa	Zaglebie Lubin	0-0 HT 0-0	Cracovia Krakow
03/11/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Cracovia Krakow	0-0 HT 0-0	Zaglebie Lubin
24/05/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Zaglebie Lubin	1-2 HT 0-2	Cracovia Krakow
29/11/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Cracovia Krakow	1-1 HT 1-0	Zaglebie Lubin
18/02/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Zaglebie Lubin	1-1 HT 1-0	Cracovia Krakow
02/11/23 Poland Cup	Cracovia Krakow	1-0 HT 0-0	Zaglebie Lubin

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	7	1	1	16	8	22
2	Legia Warsaw	9	5	4	0	19	8	19
3	Lech Poznan	8	6	1	1	17	7	19
4	Wisla Krakow	9	5	2	2	17	12	17
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	12	6	15
6	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	12	10	15
7	Zaglebie Lubin	9	4	3	2	11	10	15
8	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	16	15	13
9	GKS Katowice	8	4	0	4	16	13	12
10	Jagiellonia Bialystok	8	4	0	4	12	13	12
11	Wisla Plock	8	3	2	3	9	12	11
12	Widzew Lodz	9	1	6	2	13	13	9
13	Cracovia Krakow	9	2	2	5	9	14	8
14	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	7	20	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	1	3	5	11	15	6
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	9	15	6
17	Wieczysta Krakow	8	1	2	5	11	17	5
18	Rakow Czestochowa	9	1	0	8	12	21	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cracovia Krakow	Zaglebie Lubin
GKS Katowice	2-3 L	2-1 W
Wisla Plock	1-3 L	0-2 L
Radomiak Radom	1-2 L	0-0 D
Wieczysta Krakow	3-2 W	1-1 D
Rakow Czestochowa	2-1 W	3-2 W
Slask Wroclaw	0-0 D	2-1 W
Pogon Szczecin	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Zaglebie Lubin (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cracovia Krakow

DDLDWWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	2-3	1	3	L
13/09	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
06/09	Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
29/08	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-2	10	3	L
21/08	Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	3-2	9	1	W
16/08	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-1	7	1	W
09/08	Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
03/08	Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
25/07	Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
23/05	Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-1	3	0	D

Zaglebie Lubin

LWLWDDDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
15/09	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	3-2	2	9	W
12/09	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
07/09	Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
29/08	Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
23/08	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
15/08	Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-1	8	4	W
02/08	Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-3	2	0	L
27/07	Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	2-0	5	2	W
23/05	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	0-1	1	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cracovia Krakow win (35%). Probabilities: Cracovia Krakow 35%, draw 33%, Zaglebie Lubin 32%.

How many goals are expected in Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Cracovia Krakow 1.06 · Zaglebie Lubin 1.02), with a 57% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.