Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 17/10, 17:30

Prediction: GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin

Team pages: GKS Katowice · Pogon Szczecin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

GKS Katowice1.61

Pogon Szczecin1.26

1X2

44% 27% 29%

GKS Katowice Draw Pogon Szczecin

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

GKS Katowice 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DLWLWWLLWW

Pogon Szczecin 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DLWWDDDWWW

Head-to-head

GKS Katowice 2–2–2 Pogon Szczecin (6 last)

Pogon Szczecin1-1GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice2-0Pogon Szczecin
Pogon Szczecin1-0GKS Katowice
Pogon Szczecin4-0GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice3-1Pogon Szczecin
GKS Katowice1-1Pogon Szczecin

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GKS Katowice	Pogon Szczecin
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	1.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.5	2.1 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.99

Under 3.251.83

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:57

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.93 → 1.93	Pinn 1.93
X	3.94 → 3.94	Pinn 3.94
2	3.48 → 3.48	Pinn 3.48

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:46 +11’	1.93	3.94	3.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GKS Katowice 2–2–2 Pogon Szczecin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Poland Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin	1-1 HT 1-0	GKS Katowice
29/11/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	GKS Katowice	2-0 HT 2-0	Pogon Szczecin
25/06/25 Europe Friendlies	Pogon Szczecin	1-0 HT 1-0	GKS Katowice
06/04/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Pogon Szczecin	4-0 HT 1-0	GKS Katowice
27/09/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	GKS Katowice	3-1 HT 1-0	Pogon Szczecin
26/09/18 Poland Cup	GKS Katowice	1-1 HT 1-0	Pogon Szczecin

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	10	8	1	1	19	9	25
2	Lech Poznan	9	7	1	1	21	8	22
2	Legia Warsaw	10	6	4	0	21	8	22
4	Pogon Szczecin	9	5	3	1	14	6	18
5	GKS Katowice	10	6	0	4	22	15	18
6	Wisla Krakow	10	5	2	3	17	14	17
7	Piast Gliwice	10	5	1	4	18	16	16
8	Korona Kielce	10	4	3	3	12	12	15
9	Zaglebie Lubin	10	4	3	3	12	13	15
10	Jagiellonia Bialystok	9	4	0	5	13	16	12
11	Cracovia Krakow	10	3	2	5	12	15	11
12	Wisla Plock	9	3	2	4	9	15	11
13	Widzew Lodz	10	1	6	3	14	15	9
14	Motor Lublin	10	2	3	5	12	17	9
15	Wieczysta Krakow	10	2	2	6	15	19	8
16	Radomiak Radom	10	2	2	6	9	23	8
17	Slask Wroclaw	10	1	3	6	12	19	6
18	Rakow Czestochowa	10	1	0	9	13	25	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GKS Katowice	Pogon Szczecin
Cracovia Krakow	3-2 W	2-0 W
Zaglebie Lubin	1-2 L	0-0 D
Piast Gliwice	0-3 L	2-1 W
Wisla Plock	5-0 W	1-1 D
Motor Lublin	0-1 L	3-1 W
Wisla Krakow	1-2 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Pogon Szczecin (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GKS Katowice

DLWLWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	4-1	4	5	W
19/09	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	3-2	3	3	W
12/09	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
04/09	Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-2	0-3	8	9	L
30/08	Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	3-2	4	1	W
23/08	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	5-0	1	2	W
16/08	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
02/08	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	3-1	10	9	W
26/07	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-2	7	4	L
23/05	Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-1	3	5	D

Pogon Szczecin

DLWWDDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
20/09	Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
13/09	Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
07/09	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
29/08	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	3	8	D
23/08	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	2-2	2-2	2	5	D
08/08	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
03/08	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
24/07	Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
23/05	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	1-1	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GKS Katowice win (44%). Probabilities: GKS Katowice 44%, draw 27%, Pogon Szczecin 29%.

How many goals are expected in GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?

The model expects 2.87 goals (GKS Katowice 1.61 · Pogon Szczecin 1.26), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in GKS Katowice vs Pogon Szczecin?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.