Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 17/10, 20:15
Prediction: Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warsaw
Team pages: Cracovia Krakow · Legia Warsaw
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
Cracovia Krakow1.21
Legia Warsaw1.49
1X2
Cracovia Krakow
Draw
Legia Warsaw
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Cracovia Krakow
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Legia Warsaw
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Cracovia Krakow
3–3
Legia Warsaw
(6 last)
- Legia Warsaw1-0Cracovia Krakow
- Cracovia Krakow2-1Legia Warsaw
- Cracovia Krakow3-1Legia Warsaw
- Legia Warsaw3-2Cracovia Krakow
- Cracovia Krakow2-0Legia Warsaw
- Legia Warsaw2-0Cracovia Krakow
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Legia Warsaw (rating 1466 vs 1564).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cracovia Krakow | Legia Warsaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 2.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.4 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.8 | 2.3 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Cracovia Krakow 3–0–3 Legia Warsaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Legia Warsaw | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Cracovia Krakow |
| 31/08/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Krakow | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Legia Warsaw |
| 18/05/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Krakow | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Legia Warsaw |
| 23/11/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Legia Warsaw | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Cracovia Krakow |
| 20/12/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Cracovia Krakow | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Legia Warsaw |
| 17/12/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Legia Warsaw | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Cracovia Krakow |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Legia Warsaw | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 17 |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 16 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 15 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 15 |
| 9 | Zaglebie Lubin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 15 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia Krakow | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 10 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 9 |
| 14 | Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 8 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cracovia Krakow | Legia Warsaw |
|---|---|---|
| Zaglebie Lubin | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Radomiak Radom | 1-2 L | 5-0 W |
| Slask Wroclaw | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Pogon Szczecin | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Legia Warsaw (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cracovia Krakow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/08 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
Legia Warsaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/08 | Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
4-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 02/08 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 24/07 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warsaw?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Legia Warsaw win (43%). Probabilities: Cracovia Krakow 29%, draw 28%, Legia Warsaw 43%.
How many goals are expected in Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warsaw?
The model expects 2.7 goals (Cracovia Krakow 1.21 · Legia Warsaw 1.49), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Cracovia Krakow vs Legia Warsaw?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.