Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 09/10, 20:30

Prediction: Rakow Czestochowa vs GKS Katowice

Team pages: Rakow Czestochowa · GKS Katowice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Rakow Czestochowa1.66

GKS Katowice1.64

1X2

38% 25% 37%

Rakow Czestochowa Draw GKS Katowice

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Rakow Czestochowa 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLLWLL

GKS Katowice 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DDLWLWWLLW

Head-to-head

Rakow Czestochowa 3–2–1 GKS Katowice (6 last)

GKS Katowice1-1Rakow Czestochowa
Rakow Czestochowa3-3GKS Katowice
Rakow Czestochowa1-0GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice0-1Rakow Czestochowa
Rakow Czestochowa1-2GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice0-1Rakow Czestochowa

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours GKS Katowice (rating 1448 vs 1499).
H2H favours Rakow Czestochowa: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rakow Czestochowa	GKS Katowice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.1	1.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.5	2.2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.83

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:50

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.17 → 2.17	Pinn 2.17
X	3.95 → 3.95	Pinn 3.95
2	2.92 → 2.92	Pinn 2.92

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:32 +319’	2.17	3.95	2.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rakow Czestochowa 3–2–1 GKS Katowice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/07/26 Club Friendly List	GKS Katowice	1-1 HT 0-0	Rakow Czestochowa
09/04/26 Poland Cup	Rakow Czestochowa	3-3 HT 0-2	GKS Katowice
07/12/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Rakow Czestochowa	1-0 HT 0-0	GKS Katowice
19/07/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	GKS Katowice	0-1 HT 0-0	Rakow Czestochowa
08/02/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Rakow Czestochowa	1-2 HT 0-1	GKS Katowice
03/08/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	GKS Katowice	0-1 HT 0-1	Rakow Czestochowa

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	9	7	1	1	16	8	22
2	Legia Warsaw	9	5	4	0	19	8	19
3	Lech Poznan	8	6	1	1	17	7	19
4	Wisla Krakow	9	5	2	2	17	12	17
5	Pogon Szczecin	8	4	3	1	12	6	15
6	Korona Kielce	9	4	3	2	12	10	15
7	Zaglebie Lubin	9	4	3	2	11	10	15
8	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	16	15	13
9	GKS Katowice	8	4	0	4	16	13	12
10	Jagiellonia Bialystok	8	4	0	4	12	13	12
11	Wisla Plock	8	3	2	3	9	12	11
12	Widzew Lodz	9	1	6	2	13	13	9
13	Cracovia Krakow	9	2	2	5	9	14	8
14	Radomiak Radom	9	2	2	5	7	20	8
15	Slask Wroclaw	9	1	3	5	11	15	6
16	Motor Lublin	9	1	3	5	9	15	6
17	Wieczysta Krakow	8	1	2	5	11	17	5
18	Rakow Czestochowa	9	1	0	8	12	21	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rakow Czestochowa	GKS Katowice
Zaglebie Lubin	2-3 L	1-2 L
Motor Lublin	2-1 W	0-1 L
Gornik Zabrze	1-2 L	3-2 W
Jagiellonia Bialystok	2-5 L	2-2 D
Cracovia Krakow	1-2 L	3-2 W
Wisla Plock	1-2 L	5-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: GKS Katowice (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rakow Czestochowa

WLLLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa	0-2	2-3	5	4	L
15/09	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-3	5	9	L
11/09	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	2-1	8	2	W
06/09	Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
03/09	Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa	0-2	1-2	4	3	L
30/08	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	1-2	2-5	5	2	L
16/08	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	1-2	5	1	L
02/08	Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
26/07	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
23/05	Arka Gdynia Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	3-0	1	3	W

GKS Katowice

DDLWLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	3-2	3	3	W
12/09	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
04/09	Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-2	0-3	8	9	L
30/08	Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	3-2	4	1	W
23/08	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	5-0	1	2	W
16/08	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
02/08	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	3-1	10	9	W
26/07	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-2	7	4	L
23/05	Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-1	3	5	D
17/05	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	2-2	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rakow Czestochowa vs GKS Katowice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rakow Czestochowa win (38%). Probabilities: Rakow Czestochowa 38%, draw 25%, GKS Katowice 37%.

How many goals are expected in Rakow Czestochowa vs GKS Katowice?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Rakow Czestochowa 1.66 · GKS Katowice 1.64), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Rakow Czestochowa vs GKS Katowice?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.