Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 02/11, 18:00

Prediction: Radomiak Radom vs Slask Wroclaw

Team pages: Radomiak Radom · Slask Wroclaw

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

Radomiak Radom1.68

Slask Wroclaw1.4

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Radomiak Radom Draw Slask Wroclaw

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Radomiak Radom 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLDWDLLLLL

Slask Wroclaw 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLDDLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Radomiak Radom 2–1–3 Slask Wroclaw (6 last)

Radomiak Radom1-1Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw1-2Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom0-3Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw2-0Radomiak Radom
Radomiak Radom0-1Slask Wroclaw
Slask Wroclaw0-1Radomiak Radom

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Radomiak Radom 1436 · Slask Wroclaw 1454

	Radomiak Radom	Draw	Slask Wroclaw
Our model	43%	26%	31%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Slask Wroclaw: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Radomiak Radom	Slask Wroclaw
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.4	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1.3	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.6	1.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.50

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.16
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.76 ★
2	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.06

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.4% Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:19 +3’	2.15	3.50	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:25 +2’	2.13	3.63	3.21
10:06 +17’	2.19▲	3.63	3.09▼
21:49 +2’	2.16▼	3.76▲	3.06▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Radomiak Radom 2–1–3 Slask Wroclaw

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Radomiak Radom	1-1 HT 0-1	Slask Wroclaw
14/12/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Slask Wroclaw	1-2 HT 1-0	Radomiak Radom
29/10/24 Poland Cup	Radomiak Radom	0-3 HT 0-1	Slask Wroclaw
18/05/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Slask Wroclaw	2-0 HT 1-0	Radomiak Radom
27/11/23 Poland Ekstraklasa	Radomiak Radom	0-1 HT 0-0	Slask Wroclaw
30/04/23 Poland Ekstraklasa	Slask Wroclaw	0-1 HT 0-1	Radomiak Radom

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	11	9	1	1	29	10	28
2	Gornik Zabrze	12	8	3	1	21	11	27
3	Pogon Szczecin	11	7	3	1	19	9	24
4	Legia Warsaw	12	6	5	1	23	11	23
5	Wisla Krakow	12	6	3	3	19	15	21
6	Piast Gliwice	12	6	2	4	22	18	20
7	Zaglebie Lubin	12	5	4	3	15	15	19
8	GKS Katowice	12	6	0	6	22	17	18
9	Korona Kielce	12	5	3	4	14	18	18
10	Jagiellonia Bialystok	11	5	0	6	14	17	15
11	Wisla Plock	11	4	2	5	10	16	14
12	Motor Lublin	12	3	4	5	17	21	13
13	Cracovia Krakow	12	3	3	6	14	19	12
14	Widzew Lodz	12	1	8	3	15	16	11
15	Slask Wroclaw	12	2	3	7	16	22	9
16	Wieczysta Krakow	12	2	2	8	16	23	8
17	Radomiak Radom	12	2	2	8	12	28	8
18	Rakow Czestochowa	12	2	0	10	16	28	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Radomiak Radom	Slask Wroclaw
Motor Lublin	2-3 L	2-3 L
Lech Poznan	1-5 L	1-4 L
Widzew Lodz	0-0 D	3-3 D
Cracovia Krakow	2-1 W	0-0 D
Zaglebie Lubin	0-0 D	1-2 L
Legia Warsaw	0-5 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	0 W 3 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Radomiak Radom

LLDWDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa	2-2	3-4	7	5	L
19/10	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	0-1	6	2	L
12/10	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-3	3	7	L
20/09	Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa	1-3	1-5	6	3	L
14/09	Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	0-2	14	3	L
05/09	Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
29/08	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	2-1	10	3	W
23/08	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	10	3	D
14/08	Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-4	0-5	2	3	L
08/08	Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa	0-2	1-3	2	8	L

Slask Wroclaw

DLDDLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	2-0	4	5	W
17/10	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-3	1	5	L
10/10	Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-4	3	5	L
18/09	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
12/09	Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
06/09	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	0-2	1-2	7	2	L
28/08	Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
22/08	Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa	0-2	3-3	5	7	D
15/08	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	1-2	0	4	L
09/08	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Radomiak Radom vs Slask Wroclaw?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Radomiak Radom win (43%). Probabilities: Radomiak Radom 43%, draw 26%, Slask Wroclaw 31%.

How many goals are expected in Radomiak Radom vs Slask Wroclaw?

The model expects 3.07 goals (Radomiak Radom 1.68 · Slask Wroclaw 1.4), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Radomiak Radom vs Slask Wroclaw?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.