Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 07/11, 17:30

Prediction: Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Krakow

Team pages: Gornik Zabrze · Wieczysta Krakow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Gornik Zabrze2.1

Wieczysta Krakow0.87

1X2

65% 22% 14%

Gornik Zabrze Draw Wieczysta Krakow

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Gornik Zabrze 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDWDDD

Wieczysta Krakow 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gornik Zabrze (rating 1556 vs 1427).
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gornik Zabrze	Wieczysta Krakow
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.8	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.6	3.1 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.83

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:29

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.56 → 1.56	Pinn 1.56
X	4.30 → 4.30	Pinn 4.30
2	5.38 → 5.38	Pinn 5.38

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.9%

Time*	1	X	2
23:42 +47’	1.56	4.30	5.38

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	12	10	1	1	32	11	31
2	Gornik Zabrze	13	8	4	1	21	11	28
3	Legia Warsaw	13	6	6	1	23	11	24
4	Pogon Szczecin	11	7	3	1	19	9	24
5	GKS Katowice	13	7	0	6	25	19	21
6	Piast Gliwice	13	6	3	4	24	20	21
7	Wisla Krakow	13	6	3	4	20	18	21
8	Zaglebie Lubin	12	5	4	3	15	15	19
9	Jagiellonia Bialystok	12	6	0	6	17	18	18
10	Korona Kielce	12	5	3	4	14	18	18
11	Motor Lublin	13	4	4	5	19	22	16
12	Wisla Plock	12	4	3	5	12	18	15
13	Cracovia Krakow	13	3	3	7	15	21	12
14	Widzew Lodz	13	1	8	4	17	19	11
15	Slask Wroclaw	12	2	3	7	16	22	9
16	Wieczysta Krakow	13	2	2	9	17	26	8
17	Radomiak Radom	12	2	2	8	12	28	8
18	Rakow Czestochowa	12	2	0	10	16	28	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gornik Zabrze	Wieczysta Krakow
Widzew Lodz	1-1 D	2-2 D
Jagiellonia Bialystok	3-1 W	1-3 L
Cracovia Krakow	1-0 W	2-3 L
Rakow Czestochowa	2-1 W	1-2 L
GKS Katowice	2-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Gornik Zabrze (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gornik Zabrze

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
23/10	Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
18/10	Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-1	10	2	D
10/10	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	3-1	4	6	W
19/09	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
15/09	Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
12/09	Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-1	5	7	W
06/09	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
03/09	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
30/08	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-3	13	1	L

Wieczysta Krakow

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-3	10	1	L
25/10	Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-2	0-2	7	5	L
16/10	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
12/10	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-2	8	0	L
09/10	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	3-0	6	4	W
18/09	Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
13/09	Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
07/09	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-1	10	3	D
29/08	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
21/08	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	2-3	8	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Krakow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gornik Zabrze win (65%). Probabilities: Gornik Zabrze 65%, draw 22%, Wieczysta Krakow 14%.

How many goals are expected in Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Krakow?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Gornik Zabrze 2.1 · Wieczysta Krakow 0.87), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Gornik Zabrze vs Wieczysta Krakow?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.