Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 07/11, 20:15
Prediction: Widzew Lodz vs Pogon Szczecin
Team pages: Widzew Lodz · Pogon Szczecin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Widzew Lodz1.08
Pogon Szczecin1.46
1X2
Widzew Lodz
Draw
Pogon Szczecin
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Widzew Lodz
0-6-4 (W-D-L)
Pogon Szczecin
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Widzew Lodz
1–5
Pogon Szczecin
(6 last)
- Pogon Szczecin1-0Widzew Lodz
- Pogon Szczecin0-1Widzew Lodz
- Widzew Lodz1-2Pogon Szczecin
- Widzew Lodz0-4Pogon Szczecin
- Pogon Szczecin2-0Widzew Lodz
- Widzew Lodz1-2Pogon Szczecin
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pogon Szczecin (rating 1459 vs 1571).
- H2H favours Pogon Szczecin: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Widzew Lodz | Pogon Szczecin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.8 | 1.9 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Widzew Lodz 1–0–5 Pogon Szczecin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Pogon Szczecin | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Widzew Lodz |
| 02/12/25 Poland Cup | Pogon Szczecin | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Widzew Lodz |
| 22/08/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Pogon Szczecin |
| 22/02/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Pogon Szczecin |
| 17/08/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Pogon Szczecin | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Widzew Lodz |
| 16/12/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Widzew Lodz | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Pogon Szczecin |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Legia Warsaw | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 21 |
| 6 | Piast Gliwice | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 21 |
| 7 | Wisla Krakow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| 8 | Zaglebie Lubin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 18 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 16 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 15 |
| 13 | Cracovia Krakow | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 21 | 12 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 13 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 11 |
| 15 | Slask Wroclaw | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 9 |
| 16 | Wieczysta Krakow | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 8 |
| 17 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 8 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 16 | 28 | 6 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Widzew Lodz | Pogon Szczecin |
|---|---|---|
| GKS Katowice | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Wisla Krakow | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Piast Gliwice | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Wieczysta Krakow | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Radomiak Radom | 0-0 D | 4-3 W |
| Korona Kielce | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Pogon Szczecin (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Widzew Lodz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 23/10 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 16/10 | Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/10 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 18/09 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 15/08 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 1-2 | 15 | 3 | L |
Pogon Szczecin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-2 | 4-3 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/10 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 23/08 | Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/08 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Widzew Lodz vs Pogon Szczecin?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Pogon Szczecin win (45%). Probabilities: Widzew Lodz 27%, draw 29%, Pogon Szczecin 45%.
How many goals are expected in Widzew Lodz vs Pogon Szczecin?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Widzew Lodz 1.08 · Pogon Szczecin 1.46), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Widzew Lodz vs Pogon Szczecin?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.