Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 12/10, 18:00
Prediction: Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin
Team pages: Radomiak Radom · Motor Lublin
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.86Total
Radomiak Radom1.47
Motor Lublin1.39
1X2
Radomiak Radom
Draw
Motor Lublin
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Radomiak Radom
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Motor Lublin
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Radomiak Radom
1–3–2
Motor Lublin
(6 last)
- Radomiak Radom1-1Motor Lublin
- Motor Lublin2-2Radomiak Radom
- Radomiak Radom2-3Motor Lublin
- Motor Lublin1-0Radomiak Radom
- Radomiak Radom1-1Motor Lublin
- Radomiak Radom2-1Motor Lublin
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Radomiak Radom 1467 · Motor Lublin 1456
| Radomiak Radom | Draw | Motor Lublin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.86 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Motor Lublin: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Radomiak Radom | Motor Lublin | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.6 | 0.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.5 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 6 | 2.2 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Radomiak Radom 1–3–2 Motor Lublin
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/26 Poland Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Motor Lublin |
| 29/09/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Radomiak Radom |
| 24/05/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Motor Lublin |
| 02/12/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Motor Lublin | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Radomiak Radom |
| 12/07/24 Europe Friendlies | Radomiak Radom | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Motor Lublin |
| 02/02/24 Club Friendly List | Radomiak Radom | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Motor Lublin |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Legia Warsaw | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla Krakow | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 12 | 17 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 14 | 15 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 15 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie Lubin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 15 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 13 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| 11 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 11 |
| 12 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 9 |
| 13 | Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 8 |
| 14 | Cracovia Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 8 |
| 16 | Slask Wroclaw | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Radomiak Radom | Motor Lublin |
|---|---|---|
| Piast Gliwice | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Widzew Lodz | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Legia Warsaw | 0-5 L | 2-3 L |
| Gornik Zabrze | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| GKS Katowice | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Motor Lublin (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Radomiak Radom
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/09 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-2 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 14/08 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-4 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 02/08 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 24/07 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-5 | 2-6 | 4 | 5 | L |
Motor Lublin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/09 | Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 16/08 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/07 | Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Radomiak Radom win (38%). Probabilities: Radomiak Radom 38%, draw 27%, Motor Lublin 35%.
How many goals are expected in Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
The model expects 2.86 goals (Radomiak Radom 1.47 · Motor Lublin 1.39), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.