Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 24/10, 14:45

Prediction: Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice

Team pages: Korona Kielce · GKS Katowice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

Korona Kielce1.5

GKS Katowice1.24

1X2

42% 28% 30%

Korona Kielce Draw GKS Katowice

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Korona Kielce 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDWDWLWL

GKS Katowice 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWWWL

Head-to-head

Korona Kielce 2–1–3 GKS Katowice (6 last)

Korona Kielce1-1GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice1-0Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce2-1GKS Katowice
GKS Katowice1-2Korona Kielce
Korona Kielce0-1GKS Katowice
Korona Kielce1-2GKS Katowice

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours GKS Katowice: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Korona Kielce	GKS Katowice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.2	2.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.8	1.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.89

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.04 → 2.06▲	Pinn 2.06
X	3.77 → 3.82▲	Pinn 3.82
2	3.21 → 3.24▲	Pinn 3.24

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:46 +33’	2.04	3.77	3.21
18:43 +43’	2.06▲	3.82▲	3.24▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Korona Kielce 2–1–3 GKS Katowice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Poland Ekstraklasa	Korona Kielce	1-1 HT 0-1	GKS Katowice
25/10/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	GKS Katowice	1-0 HT 0-0	Korona Kielce
05/05/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Korona Kielce	2-1 HT 1-0	GKS Katowice
04/11/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	GKS Katowice	1-2 HT 1-1	Korona Kielce
10/12/22 Europe Friendlies	Korona Kielce	0-1 HT 0-0	GKS Katowice
14/05/22 Poland I Liga	Korona Kielce	1-2 HT 0-1	GKS Katowice

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	11	8	2	1	20	10	26
2	Lech Poznan	10	8	1	1	27	9	25
3	Legia Warsaw	11	6	5	0	22	9	23
4	Pogon Szczecin	10	6	3	1	15	6	21
5	GKS Katowice	11	6	0	5	22	16	18
6	Wisla Krakow	11	5	3	3	17	14	18
7	Zaglebie Lubin	11	5	3	3	13	13	18
8	Piast Gliwice	11	5	2	4	19	17	17
9	Korona Kielce	11	4	3	4	13	18	15
10	Cracovia Krakow	11	3	3	5	13	16	12
11	Motor Lublin	11	3	3	5	15	19	12
12	Jagiellonia Bialystok	10	4	0	6	13	17	12
13	Wisla Plock	9	3	2	4	9	15	11
14	Widzew Lodz	11	1	7	3	14	15	10
15	Wieczysta Krakow	11	2	2	7	16	21	8
16	Radomiak Radom	10	2	2	6	9	23	8
17	Slask Wroclaw	11	1	3	7	14	22	6
18	Rakow Czestochowa	11	2	0	9	15	26	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Korona Kielce	GKS Katowice
Pogon Szczecin	0-2 L	0-1 L
Rakow Czestochowa	3-2 W	4-1 W
Gornik Zabrze	0-2 L	3-2 W
Wisla Plock	2-0 W	5-0 W
Motor Lublin	1-1 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: GKS Katowice (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Korona Kielce

LDWDWDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	0-2	7	2	L
19/09	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	3-2	7	4	W
15/09	Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	0-2	6	3	L
12/09	Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-1	3	1	W
05/09	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
28/08	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-0	0	1	W
22/08	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-1	4	8	D
15/08	Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
08/08	Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-1	6	2	D
25/07	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	6	1	L

GKS Katowice

WLWWLLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
12/10	Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-1	1	0	W
09/10	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	4-1	4	5	W
19/09	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	3-2	3	3	W
12/09	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
04/09	Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-2	0-3	8	9	L
30/08	Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	3-2	4	1	W
23/08	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	5-0	1	2	W
16/08	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	1	5	L
02/08	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	3-1	10	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Korona Kielce win (42%). Probabilities: Korona Kielce 42%, draw 28%, GKS Katowice 30%.

How many goals are expected in Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice?

The model expects 2.74 goals (Korona Kielce 1.5 · GKS Katowice 1.24), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Korona Kielce vs GKS Katowice?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.