Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 24/10, 17:30
Prediction: Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom
Team pages: Pogon Szczecin · Radomiak Radom
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.85Total
Pogon Szczecin1.95
Radomiak Radom0.9
1X2
Pogon Szczecin
Draw
Radomiak Radom
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Pogon Szczecin
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Radomiak Radom
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pogon Szczecin
1–1–4
Radomiak Radom
(6 last)
- Pogon Szczecin2-2Radomiak Radom
- Radomiak Radom5-1Pogon Szczecin
- Radomiak Radom2-0Pogon Szczecin
- Pogon Szczecin0-1Radomiak Radom
- Radomiak Radom0-4Pogon Szczecin
- Pogon Szczecin0-2Radomiak Radom
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pogon Szczecin (rating 1555 vs 1453).
- H2H favours Radomiak Radom: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pogon Szczecin | Radomiak Radom | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.4 | 2.6 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 5.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pogon Szczecin 1–1–4 Radomiak Radom
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Pogon Szczecin | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Radomiak Radom |
| 20/07/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Pogon Szczecin |
| 10/05/25 Poland Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Pogon Szczecin |
| 08/11/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Pogon Szczecin | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Radomiak Radom |
| 16/02/24 Poland Ekstraklasa | Radomiak Radom | 0-4 HT 0-3 | Pogon Szczecin |
| 13/08/23 Poland Ekstraklasa | Pogon Szczecin | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Radomiak Radom |
Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 9 | 25 |
| 3 | Legia Warsaw | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | Pogon Szczecin | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 16 | 18 |
| 6 | Wisla Krakow | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 18 |
| 7 | Zaglebie Lubin | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 18 |
| 8 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 17 |
| 9 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 15 |
| 10 | Cracovia Krakow | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 12 |
| 11 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 12 |
| 12 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 12 |
| 13 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 11 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 10 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Krakow | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | 8 |
| 16 | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 8 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 15 | 26 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pogon Szczecin | Radomiak Radom |
|---|---|---|
| GKS Katowice | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Piast Gliwice | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Wieczysta Krakow | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Zaglebie Lubin | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Motor Lublin | 3-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Cracovia Krakow | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Legia Warsaw | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Pogon Szczecin (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pogon Szczecin
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 11/10 | Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/09 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 23/08 | Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 08/08 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 03/08 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
Radomiak Radom
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-3 | 1-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/09 | Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-1 | 0-2 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 14/08 | Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-4 | 0-5 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 02/08 | GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 24/07 | Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pogon Szczecin win (61%). Probabilities: Pogon Szczecin 61%, draw 23%, Radomiak Radom 16%.
How many goals are expected in Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?
The model expects 2.85 goals (Pogon Szczecin 1.95 · Radomiak Radom 0.9), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.