Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 30/10, 18:00

Prediction: Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin

Team pages: Cracovia Krakow · Motor Lublin

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Cracovia Krakow1.65

Motor Lublin1.54

1X2

40% 26% 35%

Cracovia Krakow Draw Motor Lublin

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Cracovia Krakow 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLLWDL

Motor Lublin 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLDWWD

Head-to-head

Cracovia Krakow 2–1–1 Motor Lublin (4 last)

Motor Lublin3-3Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow1-2Motor Lublin
Motor Lublin0-1Cracovia Krakow
Cracovia Krakow6-2Motor Lublin

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cracovia Krakow: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cracovia Krakow	Motor Lublin
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.4	2.9 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.96

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.09 → 2.09	Pinn 2.09
X	3.69 → 3.69	Pinn 3.69
2	3.27 → 3.27	Pinn 3.27

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
13:32 +40’	2.09	3.69	3.27

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cracovia Krakow 2–1–1 Motor Lublin

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Poland Ekstraklasa	Motor Lublin	3-3 HT 1-1	Cracovia Krakow
22/11/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Cracovia Krakow	1-2 HT 0-0	Motor Lublin
26/04/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Motor Lublin	0-1 HT 0-0	Cracovia Krakow
26/10/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Cracovia Krakow	6-2 HT 2-2	Motor Lublin

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	12	8	3	1	21	11	27
2	Lech Poznan	10	8	1	1	27	9	25
3	Pogon Szczecin	11	7	3	1	19	9	24
4	Legia Warsaw	11	6	5	0	22	9	23
5	Wisla Krakow	12	6	3	3	19	15	21
6	Piast Gliwice	12	6	2	4	22	18	20
7	Zaglebie Lubin	12	5	4	3	15	15	19
8	GKS Katowice	12	6	0	6	22	17	18
9	Korona Kielce	12	5	3	4	14	18	18
10	Wisla Plock	10	4	2	4	10	15	14
11	Motor Lublin	12	3	4	5	17	21	13
12	Jagiellonia Bialystok	10	4	0	6	13	17	12
13	Cracovia Krakow	12	3	3	6	14	19	12
14	Widzew Lodz	12	1	8	3	15	16	11
15	Wieczysta Krakow	11	2	2	7	16	21	8
16	Radomiak Radom	12	2	2	8	12	28	8
17	Slask Wroclaw	11	1	3	7	14	22	6
18	Rakow Czestochowa	12	2	0	10	16	28	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cracovia Krakow	Motor Lublin
Piast Gliwice	1-3 L	0-2 L
Legia Warsaw	1-1 D	2-3 L
Zaglebie Lubin	3-1 W	2-2 D
GKS Katowice	2-3 L	1-0 W
Gornik Zabrze	0-1 L	0-0 D
Radomiak Radom	1-2 L	3-2 W
Rakow Czestochowa	2-1 W	1-2 L
Slask Wroclaw	0-0 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Motor Lublin (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cracovia Krakow

DWWLLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-2	1-3	4	5	L
17/10	Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
10/10	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	3-1	5	5	W
19/09	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	2-3	1	3	L
13/09	Wisla Plock Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-3	4	4	L
06/09	Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
29/08	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-2	10	3	L
21/08	Wieczysta Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	3-2	9	1	W
16/08	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-1	7	1	W
09/08	Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Motor Lublin

LWDLLLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-2	8	4	D
17/10	Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	3-2	10	5	W
12/10	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	3-2	5	7	W
19/09	Gornik Zabrze Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
11/09	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
05/09	Legia Warsaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-3	5	4	L
29/08	Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
22/08	Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-1	4	8	D
16/08	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
08/08	Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-2	1-3	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cracovia Krakow win (40%). Probabilities: Cracovia Krakow 40%, draw 26%, Motor Lublin 35%.

How many goals are expected in Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Cracovia Krakow 1.65 · Motor Lublin 1.54), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Cracovia Krakow vs Motor Lublin?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.