Football · Poland Ekstraklasa · 30/10, 20:30

Prediction: Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warsaw

Team pages: Gornik Zabrze · Legia Warsaw

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Gornik Zabrze1.46

Legia Warsaw1.11

1X2

44% 29% 28%

Gornik Zabrze Draw Legia Warsaw

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Gornik Zabrze 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWDWDD

Legia Warsaw 5-5-0 (W-D-L)

WDWDDWDWWD

Head-to-head

Gornik Zabrze 1–2–3 Legia Warsaw (6 last)

Legia Warsaw1-1Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze3-1Legia Warsaw
Gornik Zabrze1-2Legia Warsaw
Legia Warsaw1-1Gornik Zabrze
Gornik Zabrze1-3Legia Warsaw
Legia Warsaw2-1Gornik Zabrze

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Legia Warsaw: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Gornik Zabrze	Legia Warsaw
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.9	2.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	1.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.8	2.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:30

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.07 → 2.09▲	Pinn 2.09
X	3.55 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.60
2	3.30 → 3.34▲	Pinn 3.34

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:42 +45’	2.07	3.55	3.30
18:43 +47’	2.09▲	3.60▲	3.34▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Gornik Zabrze 1–2–3 Legia Warsaw

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Poland Ekstraklasa	Legia Warsaw	1-1 HT 0-0	Gornik Zabrze
05/10/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Gornik Zabrze	3-1 HT 2-0	Legia Warsaw
06/04/25 Poland Ekstraklasa	Gornik Zabrze	1-2 HT 1-0	Legia Warsaw
28/09/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Legia Warsaw	1-1 HT 1-1	Gornik Zabrze
01/04/24 Poland Ekstraklasa	Gornik Zabrze	1-3 HT 0-1	Legia Warsaw
24/09/23 Poland Ekstraklasa	Legia Warsaw	2-1 HT 1-1	Gornik Zabrze

Standings · Poland Ekstraklasa

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gornik Zabrze	12	8	3	1	21	11	27
2	Lech Poznan	10	8	1	1	27	9	25
3	Pogon Szczecin	11	7	3	1	19	9	24
4	Legia Warsaw	11	6	5	0	22	9	23
5	Wisla Krakow	12	6	3	3	19	15	21
6	Piast Gliwice	12	6	2	4	22	18	20
7	Zaglebie Lubin	12	5	4	3	15	15	19
8	GKS Katowice	12	6	0	6	22	17	18
9	Korona Kielce	12	5	3	4	14	18	18
10	Wisla Plock	10	4	2	4	10	15	14
11	Motor Lublin	12	3	4	5	17	21	13
12	Jagiellonia Bialystok	10	4	0	6	13	17	12
13	Cracovia Krakow	12	3	3	6	14	19	12
14	Widzew Lodz	12	1	8	3	15	16	11
15	Wieczysta Krakow	11	2	2	7	16	21	8
16	Radomiak Radom	12	2	2	8	12	28	8
17	Slask Wroclaw	11	1	3	7	14	22	6
18	Rakow Czestochowa	12	2	0	10	16	28	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Gornik Zabrze	Legia Warsaw
Widzew Lodz	1-1 D	1-1 D
Piast Gliwice	1-1 D	1-1 D
Jagiellonia Bialystok	3-1 W	3-1 W
Motor Lublin	0-0 D	3-2 W
Korona Kielce	2-0 W	1-1 D
Cracovia Krakow	1-0 W	1-1 D
Wisla Krakow	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 4 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gornik Zabrze

WLWWWWDWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-1	7	3	D
18/10	Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-1	10	2	D
10/10	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	3-1	4	6	W
19/09	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
15/09	Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
12/09	Lech Poznan Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-1	5	7	W
06/09	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
03/09	Rakow Czestochowa Poland Ekstraklasa	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
30/08	GKS Katowice Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	2-3	13	1	L
16/08	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-1	6	6	W

Legia Warsaw

WDWDDWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Cracovia Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
11/10	Wisla Krakow Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
20/09	Jagiellonia Bialystok Poland Ekstraklasa	2-1	3-1	4	1	W
13/09	Widzew Lodz Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
05/09	Motor Lublin Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	3-2	2	4	W
28/08	Slask Wroclaw Poland Ekstraklasa	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
22/08	Piast Gliwice Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
14/08	Radomiak Radom Poland Ekstraklasa	4-0	5-0	3	3	W
08/08	Korona Kielce Poland Ekstraklasa	1-0	1-1	0	2	D
02/08	Zaglebie Lubin Poland Ekstraklasa	1-1	3-1	9	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warsaw?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Gornik Zabrze win (44%). Probabilities: Gornik Zabrze 44%, draw 29%, Legia Warsaw 28%.

How many goals are expected in Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warsaw?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Gornik Zabrze 1.46 · Legia Warsaw 1.11), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Gornik Zabrze vs Legia Warsaw?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.