Football · France Ligue 2 · 14/08, 20:45
Prediction: Guingamp vs Boulogne
Team pages: Guingamp · Boulogne
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Guingamp1.23
Boulogne1.19
1X2
Guingamp
Draw
Boulogne
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Guingamp
0-2-8 (W-D-L)
Boulogne
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guingamp
1–1–0
Boulogne
(2 last)
- Guingamp3-0Boulogne
- Boulogne2-2Guingamp
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boulogne (rating 1412 vs 1461).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guingamp | Boulogne | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.9 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.3 | 1.1 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0 | 1.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guingamp 1–1–0 Boulogne
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/26 France Ligue 2 | Guingamp | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Boulogne |
| 17/10/25 France Ligue 2 | Boulogne | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Guingamp |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Dunkerque | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Rodez Aveyron | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Metz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Annecy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Red Star FC 93 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Dijon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Clermont Foot | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Nancy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Reims | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Boulogne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Guingamp | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Pau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Laval | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Sochaux | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guingamp
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Metz France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Brest Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 25/07 | Lorient Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/07 | Concarneau Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/07 | Rennes Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | SC Bastia France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 24/04 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 17/04 | Pau France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | Grenoble France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Boulogne
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 31/07 | Valenciennes Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Rouen Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Amiens Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 15/07 | FC Fleury 91 Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Anderlecht Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Laval France Ligue 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
1-2 | 2-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Troyes France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guingamp vs Boulogne?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guingamp win (36%). Probabilities: Guingamp 36%, draw 30%, Boulogne 34%.
How many goals are expected in Guingamp vs Boulogne?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Guingamp 1.23 · Boulogne 1.19), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Guingamp vs Boulogne?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.