Football · France Ligue 2 · 22/08, 14:00
Prediction: Metz vs Laval
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Metz1.81
Laval1.18
1X2
Metz
Draw
Laval
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Metz
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Laval
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Metz
4–2–0
Laval
(6 last)
- Laval2-3Metz
- Metz1-1Laval
- Metz1-0Laval
- Laval3-3Metz
- Metz1-0Laval
- Laval0-1Metz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Metz 1517 · Laval 1527
| Metz | Draw | Laval | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 28% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Metz: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Metz | Laval | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.1 | 2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5 | 2.9 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Metz 4–2–0 Laval
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/25 France Ligue 2 | Laval | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Metz |
| 31/08/24 France Ligue 2 | Metz | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Laval |
| 01/04/23 France Ligue 2 | Metz | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Laval |
| 20/08/22 France Ligue 2 | Laval | 3-3 HT 1-3 | Metz |
| 02/02/16 France Ligue 2 | Metz | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Laval |
| 11/09/15 France Ligue 2 | Laval | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Metz |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Annecy | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Dunkerque | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 | Metz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Montpellier | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Red Star FC 93 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Rodez Aveyron | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Guingamp | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Pau | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Laval | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Reims | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Dijon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Nancy | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Sochaux | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Nantes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Metz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Grenoble France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Guingamp France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Fortuna Sittard Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 22/07 | Sochaux Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/07 | Seraing United Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Union Luxembourg Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Versailles 78 Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 17/05 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Laval
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Nantes France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/07 | Granville Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Concarneau Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/07 | Avranches Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Caen Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/07 | US Quevilly Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Rouen France Ligue 2 Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/05 | Rouen France Ligue 2 Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Metz vs Laval?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Metz win (50%). Probabilities: Metz 50%, draw 27%, Laval 23%.
How many goals are expected in Metz vs Laval?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Metz 1.81 · Laval 1.18), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Metz vs Laval?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.