Football · France Ligue 2 · 21/08, 20:00
Prediction: Dunkerque vs Montpellier
Team pages: Dunkerque · Montpellier
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Dunkerque1.59
Montpellier1.49
1X2
Dunkerque
Draw
Montpellier
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dunkerque
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Montpellier
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dunkerque
1–1
Montpellier
(2 last)
- Montpellier1-3Dunkerque
- Dunkerque0-1Montpellier
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montpellier (rating 1510 vs 1550).
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dunkerque | Montpellier | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.6 | 4.1 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.4 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunkerque 1–0–1 Montpellier
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/26 France Ligue 2 | Montpellier | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Dunkerque |
| 18/10/25 France Ligue 2 | Dunkerque | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Montpellier |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Annecy | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Dunkerque | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 | Metz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Montpellier | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Red Star FC 93 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Rodez Aveyron | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Guingamp | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Pau | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Laval | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Reims | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Dijon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Nancy | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Sochaux | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Nantes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunkerque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 08/08 | Grenoble France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | KV Mechelen Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 22/07 | Samsunspor Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Standard Liege Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Valenciennes Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Grenoble France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 27/04 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
2-1 | 6-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/04 | Laval France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Montpellier
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Dijon France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Rodez Aveyron Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Clermont Foot Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/07 | Cannes Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 17/07 | Le Puy Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 5-2 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Aubagne Air Bel Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Amiens France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunkerque vs Montpellier?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunkerque win (39%). Probabilities: Dunkerque 39%, draw 26%, Montpellier 35%.
How many goals are expected in Dunkerque vs Montpellier?
The model expects 3.09 goals (Dunkerque 1.59 · Montpellier 1.49), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dunkerque vs Montpellier?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.