Football · France Ligue 2 · 22/08, 14:00

Prediction: Nantes vs Rodez Aveyron

Team pages: Nantes · Rodez Aveyron

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.65Total
Nantes1.72
Rodez Aveyron0.93
1X2
55% 25% 19%
Nantes Draw Rodez Aveyron
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nantes 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLWLDLWLL
Rodez Aveyron 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWDWWWDLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nantes 1483 · Rodez Aveyron 1555
NantesDrawRodez Aveyron
Our model55%26%19%
Market56%25%20%
Estimated total (ours) 2.65 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rodez Aveyron (rating 1483 vs 1555).
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

NantesRodez Aveyron
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 12.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.41 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/80/10%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 5.92.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 01.4 / 0.3

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 St Etienne 2200 616
2 Annecy 2200 306
3 Dunkerque 2110 754
4 Metz 2110 214
4 Montpellier 2110 214
6 Red Star FC 93 2110 104
7 Rodez Aveyron 2101 333
8 Guingamp 2101 223
9 Pau 2101 113
10 Laval 2101 343
11 Reims 2020 332
12 Dijon 2011 121
13 Nancy 2011 011
13 Boulogne 2011 011
15 Grenoble 2011 241
16 Clermont Foot 2011 131
17 Sochaux 2011 031
18 Nantes 2002 130

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentNantesRodez Aveyron
Laval 1-2 L 3-1 W
Red Star FC 93 0-1 L 3-2 W
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Rodez Aveyron (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nantes

LWLWLDLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Laval
France Ligue 2
1-1 1-2 70 L
08/08 Red Star FC 93
France Ligue 2
0-0 0-1 45 L
31/07 Al-Wakrah SC
World Club Friendlies
1-1 5-1 131 W
25/07 Le Mans
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 65 L
22/07 La Roche VF
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-1 51 D
18/07 Lorient
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 44 L
11/07 FC Fleury 91
Europe Friendlies
3-0 5-0 21 W
08/05 Lens
France Ligue 1
0-0 0-1 33 L
02/05 Marseille
France Ligue 1
0-0 3-0 74 W
26/04 Rennes
France Ligue 1
1-1 1-2 85 L

Rodez Aveyron

WWDWWWDLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Annecy
France Ligue 2
0-1 0-2 72 L
08/08 Laval
France Ligue 2
0-0 3-1 83 W
01/08 Montpellier
Club Friendly List
0-3 2-4 L
25/07 Toulouse
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-1 D
22/07 Nimes
Europe Friendlies
2-1 2-1 30 W
17/07 Cannes
Club Friendly List
2-0 4-1 W
10/07 SC Bastia
Europe Friendlies
3-1 5-3 70 W
15/05 St Etienne
France Ligue 1 Play-Offs
0-0 0-0 32 D
12/05 Red Star FC 93
France Ligue 1 Play-Offs
1-1 3-2 35 W
09/05 Annecy
France Ligue 2
2-0 2-1 50 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nantes vs Rodez Aveyron?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nantes win (55%). Probabilities: Nantes 55%, draw 25%, Rodez Aveyron 19%.

How many goals are expected in Nantes vs Rodez Aveyron?

The model expects 2.65 goals (Nantes 1.72 · Rodez Aveyron 0.93), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nantes vs Rodez Aveyron?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.