Football · France Ligue 2 · 21/08, 20:00
Prediction: Pau vs Nancy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Pau1.53
Nancy1.55
1X2
Pau
Draw
Nancy
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Pau
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Nancy
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pau
2–2–2
Nancy
(6 last)
- Pau1-3Nancy
- Nancy2-2Pau
- Nancy2-3Pau
- Pau2-1Nancy
- Nancy1-0Pau
- Pau1-1Nancy
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nancy (rating 1448 vs 1505).
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pau | Nancy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.5 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.1 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 3.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pau 2–2–2 Nancy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 France Ligue 2 | Pau | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Nancy |
| 29/08/25 France Ligue 2 | Nancy | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Pau |
| 14/05/22 France Ligue 2 | Nancy | 2-3 HT 2-3 | Pau |
| 24/07/21 France Ligue 2 | Pau | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Nancy |
| 05/02/21 France Ligue 2 | Nancy | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Pau |
| 03/10/20 France Ligue 2 | Pau | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Nancy |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Annecy | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Dunkerque | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 | Metz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Montpellier | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Red Star FC 93 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Rodez Aveyron | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Guingamp | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Pau | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Laval | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 | Reims | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 | Dijon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 13 | Nancy | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Grenoble | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Clermont Foot | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 | Sochaux | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 18 | Nantes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pau | Nancy |
|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Annecy | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Reims | 3-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Nancy (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Dijon France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Real Unión Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Real Sociedad B Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 21/07 | Espanyol Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
2-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/04 | Guingamp France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 10/04 | Amiens France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
Nancy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Montpellier France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Dijon Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 28/07 | Annecy Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/07 | Haguenau Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Thionville FC Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Troyes Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Pau France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 10 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pau vs Nancy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pau win (37%). Probabilities: Pau 37%, draw 26%, Nancy 37%.
How many goals are expected in Pau vs Nancy?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Pau 1.53 · Nancy 1.55), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Pau vs Nancy?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.