Football · France Ligue 2 · 14/08, 20:45
Prediction: Nancy vs Montpellier
Team pages: Nancy · Montpellier
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
Nancy1.5
Montpellier1.69
1X2
Nancy
Draw
Montpellier
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nancy
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Montpellier
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nancy
0–1–4
Montpellier
(5 last)
- Nancy0-3Montpellier
- Montpellier4-1Nancy
- Montpellier3-2Nancy
- Nancy0-3Montpellier
- Montpellier0-0Nancy
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montpellier (rating 1483 vs 1567).
- H2H favours Montpellier: 4-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nancy | Montpellier | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.7 | 2.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.6 | 3.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nancy 0–1–4 Montpellier
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/26 France Ligue 2 | Nancy | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Montpellier |
| 25/10/25 France Ligue 2 | Montpellier | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Nancy |
| 30/10/19 France League Cup | Montpellier | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Nancy |
| 11/02/17 France Ligue 1 | Nancy | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Montpellier |
| 26/11/16 France Ligue 1 | Montpellier | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nancy |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Dunkerque | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Rodez Aveyron | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Metz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Annecy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Red Star FC 93 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Dijon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Clermont Foot | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Nancy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Reims | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Boulogne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Guingamp | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Pau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Laval | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Sochaux | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nancy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 01/08 | Dijon Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 28/07 | Annecy Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 24/07 | Haguenau Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Thionville FC Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Troyes Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Pau France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 10 | D |
| 17/04 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-2 | 1-5 | 1 | 2 | L |
Montpellier
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Dijon France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Rodez Aveyron Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Clermont Foot Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 22/07 | Cannes Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 17/07 | Le Puy Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 5-2 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 11/07 | Aubagne Air Bel Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Amiens France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 17/04 | Grenoble France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nancy vs Montpellier?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Montpellier win (41%). Probabilities: Nancy 33%, draw 25%, Montpellier 41%.
How many goals are expected in Nancy vs Montpellier?
The model expects 3.18 goals (Nancy 1.5 · Montpellier 1.69), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nancy vs Montpellier?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.