Football · France Ligue 2 · 06/11, 20:00
Prediction: Dunkerque vs Guingamp
Team pages: Dunkerque · Guingamp
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
Dunkerque1.35
Guingamp1.26
1X2
Dunkerque
Draw
Guingamp
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Dunkerque
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Guingamp
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dunkerque
2–2–2
Guingamp
(6 last)
- Dunkerque0-0Guingamp
- Guingamp2-1Dunkerque
- Dunkerque1-0Guingamp
- Dunkerque3-1Guingamp
- Guingamp1-1Dunkerque
- Dunkerque0-1Guingamp
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guingamp (rating 1464 vs 1505).
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dunkerque | Guingamp | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1.5 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.2 | 1.9 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunkerque 2–2–2 Guingamp
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 France Ligue 2 | Dunkerque | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Guingamp |
| 23/09/25 France Ligue 2 | Guingamp | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Dunkerque |
| 14/05/25 France Ligue 2 Play-Offs | Dunkerque | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Guingamp |
| 07/04/25 France Ligue 2 | Dunkerque | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Guingamp |
| 04/01/25 France Ligue 2 | Guingamp | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Dunkerque |
| 13/04/24 France Ligue 2 | Dunkerque | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Guingamp |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 24 |
| 3 | Pau | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Nancy | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Red Star FC 93 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Annecy | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 8 | Dijon | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 15 |
| 9 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 10 | Metz | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 14 |
| 11 | Rodez Aveyron | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 13 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 12 |
| 13 | Sochaux | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 11 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 9 |
| 16 | Laval | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 9 |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 11 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 8 |
| 18 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dunkerque | Guingamp |
|---|---|---|
| Nantes | 3-2 W | 3-3 D |
| Annecy | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Pau | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| St Etienne | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Clermont Foot | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Nancy | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Reims | 3-3 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Guingamp (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunkerque
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/10 | Metz France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Nantes France Ligue 2 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 09/10 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 18/09 | Pau France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | St Etienne France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 04/09 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 28/08 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Montpellier France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 9 | 7 | D |
Guingamp
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | St Etienne France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/10 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/10 | Pau France Ligue 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 09/10 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 19/09 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Nantes France Ligue 2 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | Sochaux France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 14/08 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunkerque vs Guingamp?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunkerque win (38%). Probabilities: Dunkerque 38%, draw 29%, Guingamp 33%.
How many goals are expected in Dunkerque vs Guingamp?
The model expects 2.61 goals (Dunkerque 1.35 · Guingamp 1.26), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dunkerque vs Guingamp?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.