Football · France Ligue 2 · 06/11, 20:00
Prediction: Montpellier vs Metz
Team pages: Montpellier · Metz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Montpellier2.09
Metz0.79
1X2
Montpellier
Draw
Metz
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Montpellier
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Metz
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Montpellier
4–1–1
Metz
(6 last)
- Metz0-4Montpellier
- Montpellier3-0Metz
- Metz0-1Montpellier
- Montpellier2-2Metz
- Metz1-3Montpellier
- Metz1-0Montpellier
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Montpellier (rating 1599 vs 1460).
- H2H favours Montpellier: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montpellier | Metz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/80/0% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.1 | 2.2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montpellier 4–1–1 Metz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/26 France Cup | Metz | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Montpellier |
| 18/02/24 France Ligue 1 | Montpellier | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Metz |
| 17/12/23 France Ligue 1 | Metz | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Montpellier |
| 01/05/22 France Ligue 1 | Montpellier | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Metz |
| 01/12/21 France Ligue 1 | Metz | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Montpellier |
| 31/07/21 Club Friendly List | Metz | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Montpellier |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 24 |
| 3 | Pau | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Nancy | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Red Star FC 93 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Annecy | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 8 | Dijon | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 15 |
| 9 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 10 | Metz | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 14 |
| 11 | Rodez Aveyron | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 13 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 12 |
| 13 | Sochaux | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 11 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 9 |
| 16 | Laval | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 9 |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 11 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 8 |
| 18 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 8 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montpellier | Metz |
|---|---|---|
| Annecy | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Red Star FC 93 | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Rodez Aveyron | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Grenoble | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Pau | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| St Etienne | 1-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Dunkerque | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Montpellier (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montpellier
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 26/10 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 19/10 | Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/10 | Grenoble France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 18/09 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/09 | Pau France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | St Etienne France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 28/08 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 21/08 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/08 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Metz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Pau France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 23/10 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Sochaux France Ligue 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/10 | Dijon France Ligue 2 |
1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | St Etienne France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 14/09 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Annecy France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Laval France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 14/08 | Grenoble France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montpellier vs Metz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Montpellier win (66%). Probabilities: Montpellier 66%, draw 21%, Metz 12%.
How many goals are expected in Montpellier vs Metz?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Montpellier 2.09 · Metz 0.79), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Montpellier vs Metz?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.