Football · France Ligue 2 · 07/11, 20:00

Prediction: St Etienne vs Laval

Team pages: St Etienne · Laval

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.15Total

St Etienne2.13

Laval1.01

1X2

62% 22% 16%

St Etienne Draw Laval

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

St Etienne 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLDWWWL

Laval 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLLDLDLW

Head-to-head

St Etienne 3–2–1 Laval (6 last)

St Etienne2-1Laval
Laval3-3St Etienne
St Etienne0-0Laval
Laval0-1St Etienne
Laval2-1St Etienne
St Etienne1-0Laval

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Etienne (rating 1572 vs 1459).
H2H favours St Etienne: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St Etienne	Laval
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.4	2.7 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.84

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:31

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Pinn 1.33
X	5.26 → 5.26	Pinn 5.26
2	8.41 → 8.41	Pinn 8.41

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6%

Time*	1	X	2
23:48 +43’	1.33	5.26	8.41

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · St Etienne 3–2–1 Laval

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 France Ligue 2	St Etienne	2-1 HT 2-1	Laval
09/08/25 France Ligue 2	Laval	3-3 HT 2-2	St Etienne
13/01/24 France Ligue 2	St Etienne	0-0 HT 0-0	Laval
23/10/23 France Ligue 2	Laval	0-1 HT 0-1	St Etienne
13/05/23 France Ligue 2	Laval	2-1 HT 1-1	St Etienne
10/01/23 France Ligue 2	St Etienne	1-0 HT 0-0	Laval

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	St Etienne	11	8	1	2	23	11	25
2	Montpellier	11	7	3	1	16	6	24
3	Pau	11	6	2	3	16	11	20
4	Nancy	10	6	1	3	12	8	19
5	Reims	10	4	6	0	20	12	18
6	Red Star FC 93	10	5	2	3	13	12	17
7	Annecy	11	5	1	5	14	15	16
8	Dijon	11	4	3	4	20	19	15
9	Guingamp	11	4	2	5	16	15	14
10	Metz	11	3	5	3	17	17	14
11	Rodez Aveyron	11	4	1	6	17	22	13
12	Dunkerque	11	3	3	5	14	17	12
13	Sochaux	10	2	5	3	8	12	11
14	Boulogne	11	1	7	3	7	8	10
15	Nantes	11	2	3	6	12	18	9
16	Laval	11	2	3	6	14	21	9
17	Clermont Foot	11	0	8	3	10	15	8
18	Grenoble	11	2	2	7	10	20	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	St Etienne	Laval
Nantes	1-0 W	2-1 W
Red Star FC 93	1-0 W	1-2 L
Metz	2-2 D	1-1 D
Dijon	3-2 W	2-3 L
Grenoble	4-0 W	0-3 L
Clermont Foot	3-1 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: St Etienne (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St Etienne

WWWWLDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Guingamp France Ligue 2	0-1	0-3	11	5	L
24/10	Nantes France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
17/10	Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
10/10	Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
19/09	Metz France Ligue 2	0-0	2-2	6	6	D
12/09	Dunkerque France Ligue 2	1-0	1-2	3	6	L
05/09	Montpellier France Ligue 2	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
31/08	Dijon France Ligue 2	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
22/08	Grenoble France Ligue 2	3-0	4-0	6	4	W
14/08	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	1-0	3-1	7	2	W

Laval

WDLLLDLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Boulogne France Ligue 2	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
23/10	Nancy France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
16/10	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	0-2	3-3	8	1	D
09/10	Pau France Ligue 2	1-1	2-3	5	5	L
18/09	Sochaux France Ligue 2	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
11/09	Dijon France Ligue 2	1-2	2-3	7	4	L
04/09	Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2	0-2	1-2	5	7	L
28/08	Grenoble France Ligue 2	0-2	0-3	8	5	L
22/08	Metz France Ligue 2	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
14/08	Nantes France Ligue 2	1-1	2-1	2	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St Etienne vs Laval?

According to our model, the most likely result is a St Etienne win (62%). Probabilities: St Etienne 62%, draw 22%, Laval 16%.

How many goals are expected in St Etienne vs Laval?

The model expects 3.15 goals (St Etienne 2.13 · Laval 1.01), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in St Etienne vs Laval?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.