Football · France Ligue 2 · 07/11, 20:00
Prediction: Pau vs Nantes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Pau1.92
Nantes0.84
1X2
Pau
Draw
Nantes
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Pau
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Nantes
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pau
0–1
Nantes
(1 last)
- Pau1-4Nantes
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pau (rating 1550 vs 1443).
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pau | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4 | 3.1 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pau 0–0–1 Nantes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/24 France Cup | Pau | 1-4 HT 1-0 | Nantes |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Montpellier | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 24 |
| 3 | Pau | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Nancy | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Red Star FC 93 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 17 |
| 7 | Annecy | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
| 8 | Dijon | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 15 |
| 9 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
| 10 | Metz | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 14 |
| 11 | Rodez Aveyron | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 13 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 12 |
| 13 | Sochaux | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 11 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 11 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 9 |
| 16 | Laval | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 9 |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 11 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 8 |
| 18 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pau | Nantes |
|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 2-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Laval | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Dunkerque | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Sochaux | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Rodez Aveyron | 2-2 D | 2-5 L |
| Nancy | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Pau (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pau
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Metz France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/10 | Grenoble France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 16/10 | Guingamp France Ligue 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/10 | Laval France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/09 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/09 | Montpellier France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | Sochaux France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Dijon France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Nantes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Clermont Foot France Ligue 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/10 | St Etienne France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Dunkerque France Ligue 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 10/10 | Reims France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 19/09 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 12/09 | Sochaux France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 07/09 | Nancy France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Guingamp France Ligue 2 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 22/08 | Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2 |
2-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Laval France Ligue 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pau vs Nantes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Pau win (62%). Probabilities: Pau 62%, draw 24%, Nantes 15%.
How many goals are expected in Pau vs Nantes?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Pau 1.92 · Nantes 0.84), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Pau vs Nantes?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.