Football · France Ligue 2 · 30/10, 20:00

Prediction: Laval vs Boulogne

Team pages: Laval · Boulogne

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.34Total

Laval1.21

Boulogne1.14

1X2

37% 30% 33%

Laval Draw Boulogne

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Laval 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLDLDL

Boulogne 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDDDDLDW

Head-to-head

Laval 4–1–1 Boulogne (6 last)

Laval2-1Boulogne
Boulogne1-2Laval
Laval1-0Boulogne
Boulogne1-2Laval
Boulogne1-0Laval
Laval0-0Boulogne

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Laval 1452 · Boulogne 1473

	Laval	Draw	Boulogne
Our model	36%	31%	33%
Market	37%	30%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Laval: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Laval	Boulogne
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.1	0.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.7	2.1 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.4	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.00

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:58 +12’	2.45	3.00	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Laval 4–1–1 Boulogne

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 France Ligue 2	Laval	2-1 HT 2-0	Boulogne
12/09/25 France Ligue 2	Boulogne	1-2 HT 0-2	Laval
25/04/22 France Ligue 3	Laval	1-0 HT 1-0	Boulogne
03/12/21 France Ligue 3	Boulogne	1-2 HT 1-0	Laval
20/04/21 France Ligue 3	Boulogne	1-0 HT 0-0	Laval
20/11/20 France Ligue 3	Laval	0-0 HT 0-0	Boulogne

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	St Etienne	10	8	1	1	23	8	25
2	Nancy	10	6	1	3	12	8	19
3	Montpellier	9	5	3	1	11	5	18
4	Reims	9	4	5	0	19	11	17
5	Pau	10	5	2	3	13	10	17
6	Red Star FC 93	9	5	2	2	12	10	17
7	Annecy	10	5	1	4	14	12	16
8	Metz	10	3	5	2	16	14	14
9	Dijon	10	3	3	4	17	18	12
10	Dunkerque	10	3	3	4	14	16	12
11	Guingamp	10	3	2	5	13	15	11
12	Sochaux	10	2	5	3	8	12	11
13	Rodez Aveyron	10	3	1	6	16	22	10
14	Boulogne	9	1	6	2	6	6	9
15	Nantes	10	2	2	6	11	17	8
16	Grenoble	10	2	2	6	9	17	8
17	Clermont Foot	10	0	7	3	9	14	7
18	Laval	10	1	3	6	13	21	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Laval	Boulogne
Nancy	0-1 L	0-0 D
Clermont Foot	3-3 D	0-0 D
Sochaux	1-1 D	1-1 D
Dijon	2-3 L	1-1 D
Red Star FC 93	1-2 L	1-1 D
Grenoble	0-3 L	2-0 W
Nantes	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	1 W 5 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Boulogne (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Laval

LWDLLLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Nancy France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
16/10	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	0-2	3-3	8	1	D
09/10	Pau France Ligue 2	1-1	2-3	5	5	L
18/09	Sochaux France Ligue 2	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
11/09	Dijon France Ligue 2	1-2	2-3	7	4	L
04/09	Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2	0-2	1-2	5	7	L
28/08	Grenoble France Ligue 2	0-2	0-3	8	5	L
22/08	Metz France Ligue 2	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
14/08	Nantes France Ligue 2	1-1	2-1	2	0	W
08/08	Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2	0-0	1-3	4	3	L

Boulogne

LDLDDDDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Grenoble France Ligue 2	0-0	2-0	7	4	W
09/10	Sochaux France Ligue 2	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
19/09	Nantes France Ligue 2	0-0	1-2	1	5	L
11/09	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
04/09	Dijon France Ligue 2	1-0	1-1	10	4	D
28/08	Montpellier France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
21/08	Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2	0-1	1-1	3	8	D
14/08	Guingamp France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
08/08	Nancy France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
09/05	Laval France Ligue 2	0-2	1-2	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Laval vs Boulogne?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Laval win (37%). Probabilities: Laval 37%, draw 30%, Boulogne 33%.

How many goals are expected in Laval vs Boulogne?

The model expects 2.34 goals (Laval 1.21 · Boulogne 1.14), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Laval vs Boulogne?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.