Football · France Ligue 2 · 06/11, 20:00

Prediction: Dijon vs Red Star FC 93

Team pages: Dijon · Red Star FC 93

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.1Total

Dijon1.53

Red Star FC 931.56

1X2

36% 27% 37%

Dijon Draw Red Star FC 93

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Dijon 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDLDWWWLLW

Red Star FC 93 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Dijon 3–1–1 Red Star FC 93 (5 last)

Red Star FC 930-2Dijon
Dijon3-1Red Star FC 93
Dijon2-0Red Star FC 93
Red Star FC 933-2Dijon
Dijon0-0Red Star FC 93

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dijon 1502 · Red Star FC 93 1532

	Dijon	Draw	Red Star FC 93
Our model	36%	26%	38%
Market	35%	28%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Dijon: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dijon	Red Star FC 93
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.4	3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	4.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.20

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:07 +2’	2.55	3.20	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dijon 3–1–1 Red Star FC 93

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/24 France Ligue 3	Red Star FC 93	0-2 HT 0-1	Dijon
24/11/23 France Ligue 3	Dijon	3-1 HT 2-0	Red Star FC 93
02/09/16 Europe Friendlies	Dijon	2-0 HT 1-0	Red Star FC 93
06/05/16 France Ligue 2	Red Star FC 93	3-2 HT 2-1	Dijon
18/12/15 France Ligue 2	Dijon	0-0 HT 0-0	Red Star FC 93

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	St Etienne	11	8	1	2	23	11	25
2	Montpellier	11	7	3	1	16	6	24
3	Pau	11	6	2	3	16	11	20
4	Nancy	10	6	1	3	12	8	19
5	Reims	10	4	6	0	20	12	18
6	Red Star FC 93	10	5	2	3	13	12	17
7	Annecy	11	5	1	5	14	15	16
8	Dijon	11	4	3	4	20	19	15
9	Guingamp	11	4	2	5	16	15	14
10	Metz	11	3	5	3	17	17	14
11	Rodez Aveyron	11	4	1	6	17	22	13
12	Dunkerque	11	3	3	5	14	17	12
13	Sochaux	10	2	5	3	8	12	11
14	Boulogne	11	1	7	3	7	8	10
15	Nantes	11	2	3	6	12	18	9
16	Laval	11	2	3	6	14	21	9
17	Clermont Foot	11	0	8	3	10	15	8
18	Grenoble	11	2	2	7	10	20	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dijon	Red Star FC 93
Reims	2-4 L	1-4 L
Metz	4-2 W	1-0 W
Laval	3-2 W	2-1 W
Boulogne	1-1 D	1-1 D
St Etienne	2-3 L	0-1 L
Clermont Foot	1-1 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Dijon (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dijon

LDLDWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Grenoble France Ligue 2	1-0	3-1	2	2	W
24/10	Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2	1-1	1-2	10	3	L
16/10	Reims France Ligue 2	1-3	2-4	5	1	L
12/10	Metz France Ligue 2	3-1	4-2	3	3	W
18/09	Annecy France Ligue 2	0-1	2-1	1	3	W
11/09	Laval France Ligue 2	2-1	3-2	2	4	W
04/09	Boulogne France Ligue 2	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
31/08	St Etienne France Ligue 2	1-1	2-3	3	2	L
21/08	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	0-0	1-1	7	2	D
14/08	Pau France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	6	2	L

Red Star FC 93

WDDLWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Montpellier France Ligue 2	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
17/10	St Etienne France Ligue 2	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
10/10	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	1-1	3-2	3	4	W
19/09	Guingamp France Ligue 2	2-0	3-1	3	6	W
14/09	Metz France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
04/09	Laval France Ligue 2	2-0	2-1	6	7	W
29/08	Reims France Ligue 2	1-2	1-4	7	6	L
21/08	Boulogne France Ligue 2	1-0	1-1	3	8	D
14/08	Sochaux France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	12	2	D
08/08	Nantes France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dijon vs Red Star FC 93?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Red Star FC 93 win (37%). Probabilities: Dijon 36%, draw 27%, Red Star FC 93 37%.

How many goals are expected in Dijon vs Red Star FC 93?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Dijon 1.53 · Red Star FC 93 1.56), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dijon vs Red Star FC 93?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.