Football · France Ligue 2 · 06/11, 20:00

Prediction: Nancy vs Sochaux

Team pages: Nancy · Sochaux

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.24Total

Nancy1.45

Sochaux0.78

1X2

52% 28% 20%

Nancy Draw Sochaux

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Nancy 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWLLWWWW

Sochaux 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDWDDWDDLL

Head-to-head

Nancy 2–2–2 Sochaux (6 last)

Nancy1-0Sochaux
Sochaux2-3Nancy
Sochaux4-1Nancy
Nancy1-1Sochaux
Sochaux1-0Nancy
Nancy0-0Sochaux

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nancy 1521 · Sochaux 1474

	Nancy	Draw	Sochaux
Our model	52%	29%	19%
Market	53%	27%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nancy (rating 1521 vs 1474).
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nancy	Sochaux
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.8	0.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.4	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.3	2.1 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.4	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.30

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:58 +11’	1.70	3.30	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nancy 2–2–2 Sochaux

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/25 France Ligue 3	Nancy	1-0 HT 0-0	Sochaux
13/09/24 France Ligue 3	Sochaux	2-3 HT 1-0	Nancy
08/04/24 France Ligue 3	Sochaux	4-1 HT 2-0	Nancy
03/11/23 France Ligue 3	Nancy	1-1 HT 0-0	Sochaux
09/04/22 France Ligue 2	Sochaux	1-0 HT 1-0	Nancy
30/10/21 France Ligue 2	Nancy	0-0 HT 0-0	Sochaux

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	St Etienne	11	8	1	2	23	11	25
2	Montpellier	11	7	3	1	16	6	24
3	Pau	11	6	2	3	16	11	20
4	Nancy	10	6	1	3	12	8	19
5	Reims	10	4	6	0	20	12	18
6	Red Star FC 93	10	5	2	3	13	12	17
7	Annecy	11	5	1	5	14	15	16
8	Dijon	11	4	3	4	20	19	15
9	Guingamp	11	4	2	5	16	15	14
10	Metz	11	3	5	3	17	17	14
11	Rodez Aveyron	11	4	1	6	17	22	13
12	Dunkerque	11	3	3	5	14	17	12
13	Sochaux	10	2	5	3	8	12	11
14	Boulogne	11	1	7	3	7	8	10
15	Nantes	11	2	3	6	12	18	9
16	Laval	11	2	3	6	14	21	9
17	Clermont Foot	11	0	8	3	10	15	8
18	Grenoble	11	2	2	7	10	20	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nancy	Sochaux
Laval	1-0 W	1-1 D
Annecy	2-1 W	1-3 L
Guingamp	1-0 W	1-0 W
Nantes	0-1 L	1-0 W
Pau	1-0 W	1-1 D
Boulogne	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nancy (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nancy

DLWWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Laval France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
16/10	Annecy France Ligue 2	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
09/10	Guingamp France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
18/09	Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2	1-2	4-3	5	3	W
11/09	Reims France Ligue 2	0-2	1-2	5	3	L
07/09	Nantes France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	1	6	L
28/08	Dunkerque France Ligue 2	1-0	2-0	1	3	W
21/08	Pau France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
14/08	Montpellier France Ligue 2	0-0	0-1	6	7	L
08/08	Boulogne France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	6	1	D

Sochaux

LDWDDWDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Annecy France Ligue 2	0-1	1-3	12	2	L
17/10	Metz France Ligue 2	0-2	2-3	5	3	L
09/10	Boulogne France Ligue 2	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
18/09	Laval France Ligue 2	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
12/09	Nantes France Ligue 2	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
04/09	Pau France Ligue 2	0-1	1-1	1	4	D
28/08	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
21/08	Guingamp France Ligue 2	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
14/08	Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
08/08	St Etienne France Ligue 2	0-3	0-3	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nancy vs Sochaux?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nancy win (52%). Probabilities: Nancy 52%, draw 28%, Sochaux 20%.

How many goals are expected in Nancy vs Sochaux?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Nancy 1.45 · Sochaux 0.78), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Nancy vs Sochaux?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.