Football · France Ligue 2 · 06/11, 20:00

Prediction: Grenoble vs Reims

Team pages: Grenoble · Reims

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.55Total

Grenoble0.92

Reims1.63

1X2

20% 26% 53%

Grenoble Draw Reims

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Grenoble 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLWDLLLL

Reims 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

DDWWDWDDWD

Head-to-head

Grenoble 1–1–0 Reims (2 last)

Grenoble0-0Reims
Reims2-4Grenoble

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grenoble 1447 · Reims 1556

	Grenoble	Draw	Reims
Our model	20%	27%	53%
Market	21%	26%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reims (rating 1447 vs 1556).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grenoble	Reims
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.4	1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.50

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.85

2 (-0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:07 +1’	4.33	3.50	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Grenoble 1–1–0 Reims

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 France Ligue 2	Grenoble	0-0 HT 0-0	Reims
04/10/25 France Ligue 2	Reims	2-4 HT 1-2	Grenoble

Standings · France Ligue 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	St Etienne	11	8	1	2	23	11	25
2	Montpellier	11	7	3	1	16	6	24
3	Pau	11	6	2	3	16	11	20
4	Nancy	10	6	1	3	12	8	19
5	Reims	10	4	6	0	20	12	18
6	Red Star FC 93	10	5	2	3	13	12	17
7	Annecy	11	5	1	5	14	15	16
8	Dijon	11	4	3	4	20	19	15
9	Guingamp	11	4	2	5	16	15	14
10	Metz	11	3	5	3	17	17	14
11	Rodez Aveyron	11	4	1	6	17	22	13
12	Dunkerque	11	3	3	5	14	17	12
13	Sochaux	10	2	5	3	8	12	11
14	Boulogne	11	1	7	3	7	8	10
15	Nantes	11	2	3	6	12	18	9
16	Laval	11	2	3	6	14	21	9
17	Clermont Foot	11	0	8	3	10	15	8
18	Grenoble	11	2	2	7	10	20	8

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grenoble	Reims
Dijon	1-3 L	4-2 W
Boulogne	0-2 L	1-1 D
Montpellier	0-2 L	1-1 D
Clermont Foot	1-1 D	0-0 D
Annecy	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Reims (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grenoble

DLWLWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Dijon France Ligue 2	0-1	1-3	7	2	L
23/10	Pau France Ligue 2	1-0	1-2	1	8	L
16/10	Boulogne France Ligue 2	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
09/10	Montpellier France Ligue 2	0-1	0-2	7	7	L
18/09	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	1-0	1-1	5	5	D
11/09	Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2	1-0	1-0	1	3	W
04/09	Annecy France Ligue 2	0-0	1-2	5	3	L
28/08	Laval France Ligue 2	2-0	3-0	0	5	W
22/08	St Etienne France Ligue 2	0-3	0-4	2	4	L
14/08	Metz France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	1	4	D

Reims

DDWWDWDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Boulogne France Ligue 2	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
16/10	Dijon France Ligue 2	3-1	4-2	3	1	W
10/10	Nantes France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
18/09	Montpellier France Ligue 2	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
11/09	Nancy France Ligue 2	2-0	2-1	0	3	W
05/09	Guingamp France Ligue 2	0-1	2-2	0	2	D
29/08	Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2	2-1	4-1	2	6	W
24/08	Annecy France Ligue 2	0-1	3-1	4	0	W
14/08	Dunkerque France Ligue 2	1-1	3-3	2	7	D
08/08	Clermont Foot France Ligue 2	0-0	0-0	2	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grenoble vs Reims?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Reims win (53%). Probabilities: Grenoble 20%, draw 26%, Reims 53%.

How many goals are expected in Grenoble vs Reims?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Grenoble 0.92 · Reims 1.63), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Grenoble vs Reims?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.