Football · Denmark Division 1 · 26/07, 14:00

Prediction: Hobro IK vs Aarhus Fremad

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Hobro IK1.19
Aarhus Fremad1.27
1X2
34% 28% 38%
Hobro IK Draw Aarhus Fremad
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hobro IK 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWLWDDLWWL
Aarhus Fremad 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WLWDWWDLWW
Head-to-head
Hobro IK 3–1–2 Aarhus Fremad (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hobro IK 1513 · Aarhus Fremad 1541
Hobro IKDrawAarhus Fremad
Our model33%30%37%
Market35%27%39%
Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Hobro IK: 3-1-2.
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Hobro IKAarhus Fremad
Goals for / against (FT)1.6 / 1.41.9 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.70.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/10/50%60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.93.7 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 03.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hobro IK 312 Aarhus Fremad

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
14/05/26
Denmark Division 1
Hobro IK0-3
HT 0-1
Aarhus Fremad
26/04/26
Denmark Division 1
Aarhus Fremad0-1
HT 0-1
Hobro IK
20/02/26
Europe Friendlies
Hobro IK0-0
HT 0-0
Aarhus Fremad
07/11/25
Denmark Division 1
Hobro IK2-0
HT 0-0
Aarhus Fremad
24/09/25
Denmark Cup
Aarhus Fremad1-2
HT 1-1
Hobro IK
20/09/25
Denmark Division 1
Aarhus Fremad3-0
HT 2-0
Hobro IK

Standings · Denmark Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 AaB 000 000
1 Aarhus Fremad 000 000
1 AB Copenhagen 000 000
1 Esbjerg 000 000
1 FC Fredericia 000 000
1 HB Køge 000 000
1 Hillerød 000 000
1 Hobro IK 000 000
1 Hvidovre IF 000 000
1 Kolding IF 000 000
1 Vejle 000 000
1 Vendsyssel FF 000 000

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHobro IKAarhus Fremad
Middelfart 3-2 W 1-0 W
HB Køge 1-0 W 0-0 D
B93 Copenhagen 3-3 D 2-2 D
AaB 1-1 D 5-0 W
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 0 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hobro IK

LWLWDDLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 AC Horsens
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-2 11 L
30/05 Middelfart
Denmark Division 1
3-0 3-2 50 W
24/05 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
1-0 1-0 12 W
14/05 Aarhus Fremad
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-3 31 L
08/05 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
2-2 3-3 73 D
01/05 AaB
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-1 22 D
26/04 Aarhus Fremad
Denmark Division 1
1-0 1-0 43 W
22/04 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-2 44 L
18/04 Middelfart
Denmark Division 1
3-0 6-0 42 W
10/04 AaB
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-1 85 L

Aarhus Fremad

WLWDWWDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/07 Brabrand
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 115 W
08/07 Silkeborg IF
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 22 W
04/07 Esbjerg
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-2 L
30/05 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
2-1 2-2 34 D
22/05 AaB
Denmark Division 1
1-0 5-0 93 W
14/05 Hobro IK
Denmark Division 1
1-0 3-0 61 W
09/05 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
0-0 0-0 97 D
01/05 Middelfart
Denmark Division 1
0-0 1-0 42 W
26/04 Hobro IK
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-1 73 L
22/04 Middelfart
Denmark Division 1
3-1 5-1 83 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hobro IK vs Aarhus Fremad?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Aarhus Fremad win (38%). Probabilities: Hobro IK 34%, draw 28%, Aarhus Fremad 38%.

How many goals are expected in Hobro IK vs Aarhus Fremad?

The model expects 2.46 goals (Hobro IK 1.19 · Aarhus Fremad 1.27), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hobro IK vs Aarhus Fremad?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.