Football · Denmark Division 1 · 31/07, 18:00
Prediction: Aarhus Fremad vs AaB
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Aarhus Fremad1.97
AaB1.07
1X2
Aarhus Fremad
Draw
AaB
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Aarhus Fremad
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
AaB
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aarhus Fremad
3–1
AaB
(4 last)
- Aarhus Fremad5-0AaB
- AaB3-1Aarhus Fremad
- AaB0-1Aarhus Fremad
- Aarhus Fremad5-1AaB
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aarhus Fremad (rating 1559 vs 1479).
- H2H favours Aarhus Fremad: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aarhus Fremad | AaB | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.6 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aarhus Fremad 3–0–1 AaB
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Denmark Division 1 | Aarhus Fremad | 5-0 HT 1-0 | AaB |
| 18/04/26 Denmark Division 1 | AaB | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Aarhus Fremad |
| 06/03/26 Denmark Division 1 | AaB | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Aarhus Fremad |
| 29/08/25 Denmark Division 1 | Aarhus Fremad | 5-1 HT 4-0 | AaB |
Standings · Denmark Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Fredericia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | AaB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | AB Copenhagen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | Hvidovre IF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | Vejle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | Vendsyssel FF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Esbjerg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Kolding IF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Aarhus Fremad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Hobro IK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Hillerød | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | HB Køge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aarhus Fremad | AaB |
|---|---|---|
| Silkeborg IF | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| B93 Copenhagen | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Hobro IK | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| HB Køge | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Middelfart | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Aarhus Fremad (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aarhus Fremad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Brabrand Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 08/07 | Silkeborg IF Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Esbjerg Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | AaB Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Hobro IK Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | HB Køge Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | Middelfart Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Hobro IK Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 22/04 | Middelfart Denmark Division 1 |
3-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
AaB
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Hillerød Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 17/07 | Silkeborg IF Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | Randers FC Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 03/07 | Viborg Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | HB Køge Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 08/05 | Middelfart Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Hobro IK Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | HB Køge Denmark Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aarhus Fremad vs AaB?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aarhus Fremad win (57%). Probabilities: Aarhus Fremad 57%, draw 24%, AaB 19%.
How many goals are expected in Aarhus Fremad vs AaB?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Aarhus Fremad 1.97 · AaB 1.07), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Aarhus Fremad vs AaB?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.