Football · Denmark Division 1 · 02/08, 14:00
Prediction: Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK
Team pages: Vendsyssel FF · Hobro IK
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Vendsyssel FF1.56
Hobro IK1.48
1X2
Vendsyssel FF
Draw
Hobro IK
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vendsyssel FF
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Hobro IK
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vendsyssel FF
2–4
Hobro IK
(6 last)
- Hobro IK0-1Vendsyssel FF
- Vendsyssel FF2-0Hobro IK
- Hobro IK3-1Vendsyssel FF
- Hobro IK1-0Vendsyssel FF
- Vendsyssel FF0-3Hobro IK
- Hobro IK4-1Vendsyssel FF
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vendsyssel FF 1562 · Hobro IK 1492
| Vendsyssel FF | Draw | Hobro IK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vendsyssel FF (rating 1562 vs 1492).
- H2H favours Hobro IK: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vendsyssel FF | Hobro IK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.3 | 2.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vendsyssel FF 2–0–4 Hobro IK
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/26 Europe Friendlies | Hobro IK | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Vendsyssel FF |
| 16/05/25 Denmark Division 1 | Vendsyssel FF | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Hobro IK |
| 16/04/25 Denmark Division 1 | Hobro IK | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Vendsyssel FF |
| 21/02/25 Denmark Division 1 | Hobro IK | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Vendsyssel FF |
| 21/08/24 Denmark Division 1 | Vendsyssel FF | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Hobro IK |
| 13/05/24 Denmark Division 1 | Hobro IK | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Vendsyssel FF |
Standings · Denmark Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Fredericia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Aarhus Fremad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | AaB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | AB Copenhagen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Hvidovre IF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Vejle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Vendsyssel FF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Esbjerg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Kolding IF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Hobro IK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Hillerød | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | HB Køge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vendsyssel FF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | AC Horsens Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 12/07 | Vejgaard B Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 08/07 | Kolding IF Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | KFUM Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Naestved Denmark Division 2 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2 |
2-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | AB Copenhagen Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 13/05 | Thisted FC Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
Hobro IK
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | AC Horsens Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Middelfart Denmark Division 1 |
3-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | HB Køge Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 1 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 01/05 | AaB Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Aarhus Fremad Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | HB Køge Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Middelfart Denmark Division 1 |
3-0 | 6-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vendsyssel FF win (39%). Probabilities: Vendsyssel FF 39%, draw 27%, Hobro IK 35%.
How many goals are expected in Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Vendsyssel FF 1.56 · Hobro IK 1.48), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro IK?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.