Football · Denmark Division 1 · 31/07, 19:00

Prediction: HB Køge vs Vejle

Team pages: HB Køge · Vejle

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
HB Køge0.85
Vejle1.61
1X2
20% 25% 55%
HB Køge Draw Vejle
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
HB Køge 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DWDWLLLWLL
Vejle 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
LLLWWDDDDD
Head-to-head
HB Køge 2–3–1 Vejle (6 last)
  • HB Køge0-0Vejle
  • Vejle1-2HB Køge
  • HB Køge2-1Vejle
  • Vejle1-0HB Køge
  • HB Køge0-0Vejle
  • HB Køge1-1Vejle
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HB Køge 1484 · Vejle 1491
HB KøgeDrawVejle
Our model19%27%54%
Market21%23%56%
Estimated total (ours) 2.46 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours HB Køge: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HB KøgeVejle
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.11.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.80.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 42.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 03.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · HB Køge 231 Vejle

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/02/23
Denmark Division 1
HB Køge0-0
HT 0-0
Vejle
03/09/22
Denmark Division 1
Vejle1-2
HT 0-0
HB Køge
30/06/20
Denmark Division 1
HB Køge2-1
HT 0-0
Vejle
01/03/20
Denmark Division 1
Vejle1-0
HT 0-0
HB Køge
02/10/19
Denmark Division 1
HB Køge0-0
HT 0-0
Vejle
02/04/18
Denmark Division 1
HB Køge1-1
HT 1-1
Vejle

Standings · Denmark Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Fredericia 1100 303
2 Aarhus Fremad 1100 213
3 AaB 1100 103
4 AB Copenhagen 1010 221
4 Hvidovre IF 1010 221
4 Vejle 1010 221
4 Vendsyssel FF 1010 221
8 Esbjerg 1010 111
8 Kolding IF 1010 111
10 Hobro IK 1001 120
11 Hillerød 1001 010
12 HB Køge 1001 030

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHB KøgeVejle
FC Fredericia 0-3 L 2-0 W
Hvidovre IF 0-1 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Vejle (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HB Køge

DWDWLLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 FC Fredericia
Denmark Division 1
0-0 0-3 51 L
18/07 Naestved
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-2 L
11/07 FC Roskilde
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 41 W
03/07 Hvidovre IF
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 32 L
30/05 AaB
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-1 13 L
24/05 Hobro IK
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-1 52 L
16/05 Middelfart
Denmark Division 1
3-0 4-0 62 W
09/05 Aarhus Fremad
Denmark Division 1
0-0 0-0 57 D
01/05 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
1-2 3-2 56 W
26/04 AaB
Denmark Division 1
1-1 1-1 24 D

Vejle

LLLWWDDDDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 AB Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
1-1 2-2 52 D
18/07 Hvidovre IF
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-1 64 D
11/07 Hillerød
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-1 32 D
03/07 Randers FC
Europe Friendlies
0-0 2-2 43 D
27/06 Esbjerg
Europe Friendlies
1-0 3-3 93 D
17/05 Odense BK
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 1-0 43 W
10/05 FC Fredericia
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 2-0 26 W
03/05 Randers FC
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 0-1 63 L
27/04 FC Copenhagen
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 0-3 42 L
22/04 Silkeborg IF
Denmark Superligaen
0-0 1-2 36 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HB Køge vs Vejle?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vejle win (55%). Probabilities: HB Køge 20%, draw 25%, Vejle 55%.

How many goals are expected in HB Køge vs Vejle?

The model expects 2.46 goals (HB Køge 0.85 · Vejle 1.61), with a 61% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in HB Køge vs Vejle?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.