Football · Denmark Division 1 · 31/07, 19:00
Prediction: AB Copenhagen vs FC Fredericia
Team pages: AB Copenhagen · FC Fredericia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
AB Copenhagen1.56
FC Fredericia1.7
1X2
AB Copenhagen
Draw
FC Fredericia
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AB Copenhagen
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
FC Fredericia
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AB Copenhagen
2–4
FC Fredericia
(6 last)
- AB Copenhagen0-2FC Fredericia
- FC Fredericia1-3AB Copenhagen
- AB Copenhagen2-3FC Fredericia
- FC Fredericia2-1AB Copenhagen
- FC Fredericia1-0AB Copenhagen
- AB Copenhagen1-0FC Fredericia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AB Copenhagen 1535 · FC Fredericia 1545
| AB Copenhagen | Draw | FC Fredericia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 25% | 40% |
| Market | 34% | 26% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Fredericia: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AB Copenhagen | FC Fredericia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.4 | 2.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.3 | 3.4 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AB Copenhagen 2–0–4 FC Fredericia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/21 Denmark Cup | AB Copenhagen | 0-2 HT 0-2 | FC Fredericia |
| 02/04/17 Denmark Division 1 | FC Fredericia | 1-3 HT 0-3 | AB Copenhagen |
| 20/11/16 Denmark Division 1 | AB Copenhagen | 2-3 HT 0-1 | FC Fredericia |
| 07/08/16 Denmark Division 1 | FC Fredericia | 2-1 HT 2-0 | AB Copenhagen |
| 03/05/15 Denmark Division 1 | FC Fredericia | 1-0 HT 0-0 | AB Copenhagen |
| 16/11/14 Denmark Division 1 | AB Copenhagen | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Fredericia |
Standings · Denmark Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Fredericia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Aarhus Fremad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | AaB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | AB Copenhagen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Hvidovre IF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Vejle | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 4 | Vendsyssel FF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Esbjerg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Kolding IF | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Hobro IK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Hillerød | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 | HB Køge | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AB Copenhagen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Vejle Denmark Division 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/07 | B93 Copenhagen Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 14/07 | Helsingborg Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 07/07 | FC Roskilde Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 06/06 | Thisted FC Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/05 | Naestved Denmark Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2 |
4-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Vendsyssel FF Denmark Division 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | Thisted FC Denmark Division 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
FC Fredericia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | HB Køge Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 18/07 | Esbjerg Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 15/07 | CD Mafra Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Holstein Kiel Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Vejle Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen |
2-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Odense BK Denmark Superligaen |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/04 | Randers FC Denmark Superligaen |
2-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AB Copenhagen vs FC Fredericia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Fredericia win (40%). Probabilities: AB Copenhagen 34%, draw 26%, FC Fredericia 40%.
How many goals are expected in AB Copenhagen vs FC Fredericia?
The model expects 3.27 goals (AB Copenhagen 1.56 · FC Fredericia 1.7), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in AB Copenhagen vs FC Fredericia?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.