Football · Denmark Division 1 · 14/08, 19:00

Prediction: AaB vs FC Fredericia

Team pages: AaB · FC Fredericia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
AaB1.33
FC Fredericia1.57
1X2
31% 26% 42%
AaB Draw FC Fredericia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AaB 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DLWWDLWWWD
FC Fredericia 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DLWWWWWDWD
Head-to-head
AaB 4–2 FC Fredericia (6 last)
  • FC Fredericia1-4AaB
  • AaB1-0FC Fredericia
  • FC Fredericia2-1AaB
  • FC Fredericia2-3AaB
  • AaB2-3FC Fredericia
  • AaB4-0FC Fredericia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AaB 1531 · FC Fredericia 1561
AaBDrawFC Fredericia
Our model31%27%42%
Market32%26%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours AaB: 4-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

AaBFC Fredericia
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.42.5 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.71 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.1 / 3.64.1 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 02.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · AaB 402 FC Fredericia

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DateHomeScoreAway
19/09/24
Denmark Cup
FC Fredericia1-4
HT 0-1
AaB
17/05/24
Denmark Division 1
AaB1-0
HT 1-0
FC Fredericia
25/04/24
Denmark Division 1
FC Fredericia2-1
HT 2-0
AaB
01/03/24
Denmark Division 1
FC Fredericia2-3
HT 1-2
AaB
26/09/23
Denmark Cup
AaB2-3
HT 0-1
FC Fredericia
06/08/23
Denmark Division 1
AaB4-0
HT 1-0
FC Fredericia

Standings · Denmark Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vejle 3210 967
2 Hvidovre IF 3210 537
3 AaB 3210 427
4 Aarhus Fremad 3201 646
5 Hobro IK 3201 436
6 FC Fredericia 3120 525
7 Esbjerg 3111 554
8 Vendsyssel FF 3021 452
9 AB Copenhagen 3021 342
10 Kolding IF 3021 232
11 Hillerød 3003 690
12 HB Køge 3003 180

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAaBFC Fredericia
Silkeborg IF 1-2 L 4-1 W
HB Køge 1-0 W 3-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Fredericia (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AaB

DLWWDLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Kolding IF
Denmark Division 1
1-0 1-1 31 D
04/08 Holstebro
Denmark Cup
1-0 3-1 90 W
31/07 Aarhus Fremad
Denmark Division 1
1-0 2-1 48 W
24/07 Hillerød
Denmark Division 1
0-0 1-0 57 W
17/07 Silkeborg IF
Europe Friendlies
0-2 1-2 23 L
08/07 Randers FC
Europe Friendlies
1-2 2-2 32 D
03/07 Viborg
Europe Friendlies
1-1 3-1 12 W
30/05 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
1-0 1-0 33 W
22/05 Aarhus Fremad
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-5 43 L
15/05 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
1-1 1-1 24 D

FC Fredericia

DLWWWWWDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Vendsyssel FF
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-1 113 D
04/08 Oure FA
Denmark Cup
2-0 6-0 32 W
31/07 AB Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-1 92 D
25/07 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
0-0 3-0 91 W
18/07 Esbjerg
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 40 W
15/07 CD Mafra
Europe Friendlies
1-1 3-2 82 W
04/07 Holstein Kiel
Club Friendly List
2-0 3-1 W
17/05 Silkeborg IF
Denmark Superligaen
3-0 4-1 42 W
10/05 Vejle
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 0-2 76 L
03/05 FC Copenhagen
Denmark Superligaen
2-2 3-3 64 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AaB vs FC Fredericia?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Fredericia win (42%). Probabilities: AaB 31%, draw 26%, FC Fredericia 42%.

How many goals are expected in AaB vs FC Fredericia?

The model expects 2.9 goals (AaB 1.33 · FC Fredericia 1.57), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in AaB vs FC Fredericia?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.