Football · Denmark Division 1 · 21/08, 18:00

Prediction: Vejle vs Esbjerg

Team pages: Vejle · Esbjerg

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Vejle1.98
Esbjerg1.22
1X2
54% 25% 22%
Vejle Draw Esbjerg
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vejle 5-5-0 (W-D-L)
WDDDDDWWWW
Esbjerg 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDWLLDWWLL
Head-to-head
Vejle 2–3–1 Esbjerg (6 last)
  • Esbjerg3-3Vejle
  • Vejle3-3Esbjerg
  • Vejle5-1Esbjerg
  • Esbjerg0-0Vejle
  • Vejle1-0Esbjerg
  • Esbjerg2-1Vejle
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vejle 1575 · Esbjerg 1498
VejleDrawEsbjerg
Our model54%24%22%
Market53%26%21%
Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vejle (rating 1575 vs 1498).
  • H2H favours Vejle: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

VejleEsbjerg
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 1.51.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.50.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.32.1 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 02.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vejle 231 Esbjerg

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/06/26
Europe Friendlies
Esbjerg3-3
HT 0-1
Vejle
29/06/25
Europe Friendlies
Vejle3-3
HT 3-0
Esbjerg
09/07/21
Europe Friendlies
Vejle5-1
HT 4-1
Esbjerg
26/01/21
Europe Friendlies
Esbjerg0-0
HT 0-0
Vejle
06/07/19
Europe Friendlies
Vejle1-0
HT 1-0
Esbjerg
17/03/19
Denmark Superligaen
Esbjerg2-1
HT 0-0
Vejle

Standings · Denmark Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vejle 4310 12810
2 Hvidovre IF 4310 7310
3 Hobro IK 4301 649
4 FC Fredericia 4220 828
5 Aarhus Fremad 4211 757
6 AaB 4211 457
7 Esbjerg 4112 674
8 Vendsyssel FF 3021 452
9 AB Copenhagen 3021 342
10 Kolding IF 4022 462
11 Hillerød 4013 7101
12 HB Køge 4004 1100

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentVejleEsbjerg
Kolding IF 3-2 W 1-1 D
Hillerød 5-4 W 3-2 W
Hvidovre IF 1-1 D 1-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Vejle (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vejle

WDDDDDWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Kolding IF
Denmark Division 1
1-1 3-2 22 W
09/08 Hillerød
Denmark Division 1
1-2 5-4 83 W
05/08 Tarup-Paarup
Denmark Cup
1-0 3-0 81 W
31/07 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
1-0 2-0 40 W
24/07 AB Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
1-1 2-2 52 D
18/07 Hvidovre IF
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-1 64 D
11/07 Hillerød
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-1 32 D
03/07 Randers FC
Europe Friendlies
0-0 2-2 43 D
27/06 Esbjerg
Europe Friendlies
1-0 3-3 93 D
17/05 Odense BK
Denmark Superligaen
1-0 1-0 43 W

Esbjerg

WDWLLDWWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Hobro IK
Denmark Division 1
0-0 1-2 55 L
09/08 Hvidovre IF
Denmark Division 1
0-0 1-2 32 L
06/08 Bogense G&IF
Denmark Cup
4-0 6-0 W
01/08 Hillerød
Denmark Division 1
2-0 3-2 21 W
25/07 Kolding IF
Denmark Division 1
1-1 1-1 52 D
18/07 FC Fredericia
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 70 L
11/07 CD Mafra
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-2 22 L
04/07 Aarhus Fremad
Club Friendly List
0-0 2-0 W
27/06 Vejle
Europe Friendlies
0-1 3-3 23 D
31/05 Lyngby
Denmark Division 1
0-1 2-1 63 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vejle vs Esbjerg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vejle win (54%). Probabilities: Vejle 54%, draw 25%, Esbjerg 22%.

How many goals are expected in Vejle vs Esbjerg?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Vejle 1.98 · Esbjerg 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Vejle vs Esbjerg?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.