Football · Denmark Division 1 · 21/08, 19:00

Prediction: FC Fredericia vs Aarhus Fremad

Team pages: FC Fredericia · Aarhus Fremad

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
FC Fredericia1.95
Aarhus Fremad1.21
1X2
54% 24% 22%
FC Fredericia Draw Aarhus Fremad
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Fredericia 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
LWWWWWDWDW
Aarhus Fremad 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WDLWWWLWWD
Head-to-head
FC Fredericia 0–1–1 Aarhus Fremad (2 last)
  • FC Fredericia4-4Aarhus Fremad
  • Aarhus Fremad2-1FC Fredericia
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Fredericia 1591 · Aarhus Fremad 1564
FC FredericiaDrawAarhus Fremad
Our model54%24%22%
Market54%24%22%
Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC FredericiaAarhus Fremad
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 0.82.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.41.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%80/10/10%
Corners (HT / FT)4.2 / 6.82.4 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 0.13.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Fredericia 011 Aarhus Fremad

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
16/01/26
Europe Friendlies
FC Fredericia4-4
HT 1-0
Aarhus Fremad
24/09/14
Denmark Cup
Aarhus Fremad2-1
HT 1-0
FC Fredericia

Standings · Denmark Division 1

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vejle 4310 12810
2 Hvidovre IF 4310 7310
3 Hobro IK 4301 649
4 FC Fredericia 4220 828
5 Aarhus Fremad 4211 757
6 AaB 4211 457
7 Esbjerg 4112 674
8 Vendsyssel FF 3021 452
9 AB Copenhagen 3021 342
10 Kolding IF 4022 462
11 Hillerød 4013 7101
12 HB Køge 4004 1100

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC FredericiaAarhus Fremad
AaB 3-0 W 1-2 L
HB Køge 3-0 W 3-1 W
Esbjerg 1-0 W 0-2 L
Silkeborg IF 4-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 4 W 0 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Fredericia (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Fredericia

LWWWWWDWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 AaB
Denmark Division 1
0-0 3-0 61 W
09/08 Vendsyssel FF
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-1 113 D
04/08 Oure FA
Denmark Cup
2-0 6-0 32 W
31/07 AB Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-1 92 D
25/07 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
0-0 3-0 91 W
18/07 Esbjerg
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 40 W
15/07 CD Mafra
Europe Friendlies
1-1 3-2 82 W
04/07 Holstein Kiel
Club Friendly List
2-0 3-1 W
17/05 Silkeborg IF
Denmark Superligaen
3-0 4-1 42 W
10/05 Vejle
Denmark Superligaen
0-1 0-2 76 L

Aarhus Fremad

WDLWWWLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Hillerød
Denmark Division 1
1-0 1-1 43 D
08/08 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
2-0 3-1 11 W
04/08 Ringkøbing IF
Denmark Cup
3-0 4-0 W
31/07 AaB
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-2 48 L
26/07 Hobro IK
Denmark Division 1
2-1 2-1 64 W
16/07 Brabrand
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 115 W
08/07 Silkeborg IF
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 22 W
04/07 Esbjerg
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-2 L
30/05 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
2-1 2-2 34 D
22/05 AaB
Denmark Division 1
1-0 5-0 93 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Fredericia vs Aarhus Fremad?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Fredericia win (54%). Probabilities: FC Fredericia 54%, draw 24%, Aarhus Fremad 22%.

How many goals are expected in FC Fredericia vs Aarhus Fremad?

The model expects 3.16 goals (FC Fredericia 1.95 · Aarhus Fremad 1.21), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Fredericia vs Aarhus Fremad?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.