Football · Denmark Division 1 · 21/08, 18:00

Prediction: Hobro IK vs AaB

Team pages: Hobro IK · AaB

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Hobro IK1.15
AaB1.32
1X2
32% 29% 39%
Hobro IK Draw AaB
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hobro IK 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
DLWWLLWLWW
AaB 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWWDLWWWDL
Head-to-head
Hobro IK 2–3–1 AaB (6 last)
  • AaB1-1Hobro IK
  • Hobro IK0-1AaB
  • Hobro IK1-0AaB
  • AaB1-1Hobro IK
  • Hobro IK1-1AaB
  • AaB2-3Hobro IK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hobro IK 1506 · AaB 1518
Hobro IKDrawAaB
Our model31%30%39%
Market32%29%40%
Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Hobro IK: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Hobro IKAaB
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.81.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 10.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 4.31.9 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 03 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hobro IK 231 AaB

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/05/26
Denmark Division 1
AaB1-1
HT 1-0
Hobro IK
10/04/26
Denmark Division 1
Hobro IK0-1
HT 0-1
AaB
14/03/26
Denmark Division 1
Hobro IK1-0
HT 0-0
AaB
01/08/25
Denmark Division 1
AaB1-1
HT 0-1
Hobro IK
29/06/24
Europe Friendlies
Hobro IK1-1
HT 1-0
AaB
05/05/24
Denmark Division 1
AaB2-3
HT 2-2
Hobro IK

Standings · Denmark Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vejle 4310 12810
2 Hvidovre IF 4310 7310
3 Hobro IK 4301 649
4 FC Fredericia 4220 828
5 Aarhus Fremad 4211 757
6 AaB 4211 457
7 Esbjerg 4112 674
8 Vendsyssel FF 3021 452
9 AB Copenhagen 3021 342
10 Kolding IF 4022 462
11 Hillerød 4013 7101
12 HB Køge 4004 1100

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHobro IKAaB
Aarhus Fremad 1-2 L 2-1 W
HB Køge 1-0 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: AaB (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hobro IK

DLWWLLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Esbjerg
Denmark Division 1
0-0 2-1 145 W
08/08 AB Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
0-0 1-0 25 W
05/08 Vendsyssel FF
Denmark Cup
0-3 0-4 02 L
02/08 Vendsyssel FF
Denmark Division 1
2-1 2-1 37 W
26/07 Aarhus Fremad
Denmark Division 1
1-2 1-2 74 L
04/07 AC Horsens
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-2 11 L
30/05 Middelfart
Denmark Division 1
3-0 3-2 50 W
24/05 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
1-0 1-0 12 W
14/05 Aarhus Fremad
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-3 31 L
08/05 B93 Copenhagen
Denmark Division 1
2-2 3-3 73 D

AaB

LWWDLWWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 FC Fredericia
Denmark Division 1
0-0 0-3 41 L
09/08 Kolding IF
Denmark Division 1
1-0 1-1 31 D
04/08 Holstebro
Denmark Cup
1-0 3-1 90 W
31/07 Aarhus Fremad
Denmark Division 1
1-0 2-1 48 W
24/07 Hillerød
Denmark Division 1
0-0 1-0 57 W
17/07 Silkeborg IF
Europe Friendlies
0-2 1-2 23 L
08/07 Randers FC
Europe Friendlies
1-2 2-2 32 D
03/07 Viborg
Europe Friendlies
1-1 3-1 12 W
30/05 HB Køge
Denmark Division 1
1-0 1-0 33 W
22/05 Aarhus Fremad
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-5 43 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hobro IK vs AaB?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AaB win (39%). Probabilities: Hobro IK 32%, draw 29%, AaB 39%.

How many goals are expected in Hobro IK vs AaB?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Hobro IK 1.15 · AaB 1.32), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hobro IK vs AaB?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.