Football · Denmark Division 1 · 23/08, 13:00

Prediction: HB Køge vs Kolding IF

Team pages: HB Køge · Kolding IF

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.44Total
HB Køge1.1
Kolding IF1.35
1X2
30% 28% 42%
HB Køge Draw Kolding IF
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
HB Køge 1-0-9 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLLLL
Kolding IF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLWLDLWDL
Head-to-head
HB Køge 1–1–4 Kolding IF (6 last)
  • HB Køge2-1Kolding IF
  • Kolding IF3-1HB Køge
  • HB Køge0-1Kolding IF
  • Kolding IF1-1HB Køge
  • Kolding IF3-1HB Køge
  • HB Køge0-1Kolding IF
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HB Køge 1415 · Kolding IF 1478
HB KøgeDrawKolding IF
Our model29%30%41%
Market31%27%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.44 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kolding IF (rating 1415 vs 1478).
  • H2H favours Kolding IF: 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HB KøgeKolding IF
Goals for / against (FT)0.2 / 1.61.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.1 / 0.90.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/20/70%22/44/33%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.23.5 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.6 / 02.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · HB Køge 114 Kolding IF

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/10/25
Denmark Division 1
HB Køge2-1
HT 1-0
Kolding IF
01/08/25
Denmark Division 1
Kolding IF3-1
HT 3-0
HB Køge
25/10/24
Denmark Division 1
HB Køge0-1
HT 0-0
Kolding IF
14/09/24
Denmark Division 1
Kolding IF1-1
HT 1-0
HB Køge
07/10/23
Denmark Division 1
Kolding IF3-1
HT 0-0
HB Køge
14/09/23
Denmark Division 1
HB Køge0-1
HT 0-0
Kolding IF

Standings · Denmark Division 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Vejle 4310 12810
2 Hvidovre IF 4310 7310
3 Hobro IK 4301 649
4 FC Fredericia 4220 828
5 Aarhus Fremad 4211 757
6 AaB 4211 457
7 AB Copenhagen 4121 645
8 Esbjerg 4112 674
9 Kolding IF 4022 462
10 Vendsyssel FF 4022 482
11 Hillerød 4013 7101
12 HB Køge 4004 1100

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHB KøgeKolding IF
Hvidovre IF 0-2 L 0-1 L
Vejle 0-2 L 2-3 L
AaB 0-1 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 3 L 0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kolding IF (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HB Køge

LLLWLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Hvidovre IF
Denmark Division 1
0-0 0-2 42 L
08/08 Aarhus Fremad
Denmark Division 1
0-2 1-3 51 L
04/08 Bronshoj BK
Denmark Cup
0-1 0-1 12 L
31/07 Vejle
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-2 100 L
25/07 FC Fredericia
Denmark Division 1
0-0 0-3 51 L
18/07 Naestved
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-2 L
11/07 FC Roskilde
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 41 W
03/07 Hvidovre IF
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 32 L
30/05 AaB
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-1 13 L
24/05 Hobro IK
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-1 52 L

Kolding IF

WLLWLDLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 Vejle
Denmark Division 1
1-1 2-3 62 L
09/08 AaB
Denmark Division 1
0-1 1-1 61 D
04/08 Glamsbjerg
Denmark Cup
8-0 W
01/08 Hvidovre IF
Denmark Division 1
0-1 0-1 92 L
25/07 Esbjerg
Denmark Division 1
1-1 1-1 52 D
17/07 Sonderjyske
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 L
08/07 Vendsyssel FF
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 112 W
29/06 Odense BK
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-2 31 L
31/05 AC Horsens
Denmark Division 1
0-0 0-1 14 L
25/05 Hillerød
Denmark Division 1
1-0 3-0 23 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HB Køge vs Kolding IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kolding IF win (42%). Probabilities: HB Køge 30%, draw 28%, Kolding IF 42%.

How many goals are expected in HB Køge vs Kolding IF?

The model expects 2.44 goals (HB Køge 1.1 · Kolding IF 1.35), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in HB Køge vs Kolding IF?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.