Football · Denmark Division 1 · 15/08, 13:00
Prediction: Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad
Team pages: Hillerød · Aarhus Fremad
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.77Total
Hillerød1.31
Aarhus Fremad1.45
1X2
Hillerød
Draw
Aarhus Fremad
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Hillerød
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Aarhus Fremad
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Hillerød
2–4
Aarhus Fremad
(6 last)
- Hillerød1-0Aarhus Fremad
- Aarhus Fremad3-1Hillerød
- Aarhus Fremad3-1Hillerød
- Hillerød1-0Aarhus Fremad
- Aarhus Fremad3-2Hillerød
- Hillerød1-2Aarhus Fremad
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aarhus Fremad (rating 1483 vs 1559).
- H2H favours Aarhus Fremad: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hillerød | Aarhus Fremad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 2.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 80/10/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.6 | 2.8 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Hillerød 2–0–4 Aarhus Fremad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Denmark Division 1 | Hillerød | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Aarhus Fremad |
| 09/08/25 Denmark Division 1 | Aarhus Fremad | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Hillerød |
| 19/03/22 Denmark Division 2 | Aarhus Fremad | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Hillerød |
| 04/09/21 Denmark Division 2 | Hillerød | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Aarhus Fremad |
| 09/06/18 Denmark Division 2 Relegation | Aarhus Fremad | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Hillerød |
| 07/04/18 Denmark Division 2 Relegation | Hillerød | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Aarhus Fremad |
Standings · Denmark Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aarhus Fremad | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | AaB | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Hobro IK | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Fredericia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Vejle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Esbjerg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Hvidovre IF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | AB Copenhagen | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 9 | Vendsyssel FF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 10 | Kolding IF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Hillerød | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | HB Køge | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Hillerød | Aarhus Fremad |
|---|---|---|
| Esbjerg | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| AaB | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Hillerød (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hillerød
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Vaeggerloese BK Denmark Cup |
2-0 | 12-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | Esbjerg Denmark Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 24/07 | AaB Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 18/07 | Lyngby Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Vejle Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Odense BK Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Kolding IF Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Esbjerg Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 09/05 | AC Horsens Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
Aarhus Fremad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | HB Køge Denmark Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 04/08 | Ringkøbing IF Denmark Cup |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | AaB Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 26/07 | Hobro IK Denmark Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/07 | Brabrand Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 08/07 | Silkeborg IF Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Esbjerg Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/05 | AaB Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Hobro IK Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Aarhus Fremad win (39%). Probabilities: Hillerød 33%, draw 28%, Aarhus Fremad 39%.
How many goals are expected in Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?
The model expects 2.77 goals (Hillerød 1.31 · Aarhus Fremad 1.45), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Hillerød vs Aarhus Fremad?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.