Football · Denmark Division 1 · 16/08, 14:00

Prediction: Vendsyssel FF vs AB Copenhagen

Team pages: Vendsyssel FF · AB Copenhagen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Vendsyssel FF1.49

AB Copenhagen1.47

1X2

37% 26% 36%

Vendsyssel FF Draw AB Copenhagen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Vendsyssel FF 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWDLWD

AB Copenhagen 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLWDWDDDWL

Head-to-head

Vendsyssel FF 3–3 AB Copenhagen (6 last)

Vendsyssel FF1-2AB Copenhagen
AB Copenhagen0-2Vendsyssel FF
AB Copenhagen3-1Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF2-3AB Copenhagen
AB Copenhagen0-3Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF2-1AB Copenhagen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vendsyssel FF 1518 · AB Copenhagen 1540

	Vendsyssel FF	Draw	AB Copenhagen
Our model	37%	27%	36%
Market	37%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vendsyssel FF	AB Copenhagen
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.3	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/0/30%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.9	1.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	2.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.50

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Pinn 2.47
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.91 ★
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.4% Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:24 +1’	2.45	3.50	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:25	2.45	3.87	2.47
14:25	2.47▲	3.91▲	2.49▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vendsyssel FF 3–0–3 AB Copenhagen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Denmark Division 2	Vendsyssel FF	1-2 HT 0-0	AB Copenhagen
18/04/26 Denmark Division 2	AB Copenhagen	0-2 HT 0-1	Vendsyssel FF
08/11/25 Denmark Division 2	AB Copenhagen	3-1 HT 2-1	Vendsyssel FF
29/08/25 Denmark Division 2	Vendsyssel FF	2-3 HT 0-1	AB Copenhagen
30/04/17 Denmark Division 1	AB Copenhagen	0-3 HT 0-1	Vendsyssel FF
13/11/16 Denmark Division 1	Vendsyssel FF	2-1 HT 2-0	AB Copenhagen

Standings · Denmark Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vejle	3	2	1	0	9	6	7
2	Hvidovre IF	3	2	1	0	5	3	7
3	AaB	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
4	Aarhus Fremad	3	2	0	1	6	4	6
5	Hobro IK	3	2	0	1	4	3	6
6	FC Fredericia	3	1	2	0	5	2	5
7	Esbjerg	3	1	1	1	5	5	4
8	Vendsyssel FF	3	0	2	1	4	5	2
9	AB Copenhagen	3	0	2	1	3	4	2
10	Kolding IF	3	0	2	1	2	3	2
11	Hillerød	3	0	0	3	6	9	0
12	HB Køge	3	0	0	3	1	8	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vendsyssel FF	AB Copenhagen
FC Fredericia	1-1 D	1-1 D
Hobro IK	4-0 W	0-1 L
Naestved	4-2 W	1-4 L
Hellerup IK	3-4 L	5-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vendsyssel FF (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Vendsyssel FF

LWWLWWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	FC Fredericia Denmark Division 1	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
05/08	Hobro IK Denmark Cup	3-0	4-0	3	2	W
02/08	Hobro IK Denmark Division 1	1-2	1-2	5	7	L
25/07	Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1	0-2	2-2	8	3	D
18/07	AC Horsens Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
12/07	Vejgaard B Europe Friendlies	2-0	3-1	13	2	W
08/07	Kolding IF Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-1	0	2	L
04/07	KFUM Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	7	1	W
06/06	Naestved Denmark Division 2	2-1	4-2	3	4	W
30/05	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	2-1	3-4	7	3	L

AB Copenhagen

WLWDWDDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Hobro IK Denmark Division 1	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
04/08	Holbæk Denmark Cup	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
31/07	FC Fredericia Denmark Division 1	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
24/07	Vejle Denmark Division 1	1-1	2-2	4	2	D
18/07	B93 Copenhagen Europe Friendlies	1-2	3-3	5	3	D
14/07	Helsingborg Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
07/07	FC Roskilde Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
06/06	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	1-0	3-0	3	3	W
29/05	Naestved Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-4	3	2	L
22/05	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	4-0	5-0	5	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vendsyssel FF vs AB Copenhagen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vendsyssel FF win (37%). Probabilities: Vendsyssel FF 37%, draw 26%, AB Copenhagen 36%.

How many goals are expected in Vendsyssel FF vs AB Copenhagen?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Vendsyssel FF 1.49 · AB Copenhagen 1.47), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Vendsyssel FF vs AB Copenhagen?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.