Football · France Ligue 2 · 14/08, 20:45
Prediction: Laval vs Nantes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Laval1.23
Nantes1.52
1X2
Laval
Draw
Nantes
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Laval
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Nantes
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Laval
2–1–3
Nantes
(6 last)
- Nantes2-0Laval
- Laval1-2Nantes
- Nantes0-1Laval
- Nantes0-3Laval
- Nantes1-1Laval
- Nantes4-0Laval
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laval 1518 · Nantes 1481
| Laval | Draw | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 28% | 43% |
| Market | 29% | 28% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nantes: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Laval | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.7 | 1.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.6 | 2.4 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Laval 2–1–3 Nantes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/25 Europe Friendlies | Nantes | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Laval |
| 03/08/24 Europe Friendlies | Laval | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Nantes |
| 20/01/24 France Cup | Nantes | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Laval |
| 15/07/23 Europe Friendlies | Nantes | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Laval |
| 16/12/22 Club Friendly List | Nantes | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Laval |
| 28/10/14 France League Cup | Nantes | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Laval |
Standings · France Ligue 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St Etienne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Dunkerque | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Rodez Aveyron | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Metz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Annecy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Red Star FC 93 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Dijon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Clermont Foot | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Nancy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Reims | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Boulogne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Guingamp | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Pau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Laval | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Sochaux | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laval
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Rodez Aveyron France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/07 | Granville Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Concarneau Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 22/07 | Avranches Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Caen Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/07 | US Quevilly Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Rouen France Ligue 2 Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/05 | Rouen France Ligue 2 Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Boulogne France Ligue 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Troyes France Ligue 2 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
Nantes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 31/07 | Al-Wakrah SC World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 5-1 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Le Mans Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 22/07 | La Roche VF Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Lorient Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Fleury 91 Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 22/04 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laval vs Nantes?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nantes win (43%). Probabilities: Laval 30%, draw 28%, Nantes 43%.
How many goals are expected in Laval vs Nantes?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Laval 1.23 · Nantes 1.52), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Laval vs Nantes?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.