Football · Scotland SWPL Cup Women · 05/08, 20:30

Prediction: Boroughmuir Thistle (W) vs Queens Park (W)

Team pages: Boroughmuir Thistle (W) · Queens Park (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Boroughmuir Thistle (W)1.73

Queens Park (W)1.31

1X2

47% 25% 29%

Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Draw Queens Park (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWLWDLLL

Queens Park (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWWWWDLDL

Head-to-head

Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 1–2–3 Queens Park (W) (6 last)

Boroughmuir Thistle (W)0-1Queens Park (W)
Queens Park (W)0-1Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)1-1Queens Park (W)
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)0-1Queens Park (W)
Queens Park (W)1-1Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)1-2Queens Park (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 1478 · Queens Park (W) 1515

	Boroughmuir Thistle (W)	Draw	Queens Park (W)
Our model	46%	26%	28%
Market	47%	24%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Queens Park (W): 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Boroughmuir Thistle (W)	Queens Park (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.9 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/33/33%	14/29/57%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.2	0.5 / 2.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	1.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.70

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 1.4 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.95▲	Bet365 1.95
X	3.70 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:02 +7’	1.91	3.70	3.10
17:07 +7’	1.95▲	3.60▼	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 1–2–3 Queens Park (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/05/26 Scotland Women Premier League Play-Offs	Boroughmuir Thistle (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Queens Park (W)
24/04/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2	Queens Park (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
22/03/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2	Boroughmuir Thistle (W)	1-1	Queens Park (W)
01/02/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2	Boroughmuir Thistle (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Queens Park (W)
02/11/25 Scotland Women Premier League 2	Queens Park (W)	1-1	Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
17/03/24 Scotland Women Premier League 2	Boroughmuir Thistle (W)	1-2 HT 0-1	Queens Park (W)

Standings · Scotland SWPL Cup Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hamilton (W)	2	2	0	0	10	1	6
2	Montrose LFC (W)	2	2	0	0	8	1	6
3	Gartcairn FC (W)	2	2	0	0	7	3	6
4	Kilmarnock (W)	2	2	0	0	4	1	6
5	Motherwell (W)	2	1	0	1	8	4	3
6	Livingston (W)	2	1	0	1	4	9	3
7	Spartans (W)	2	1	1	0	3	1	3
8	St Johnstone (W)	2	1	0	1	6	6	3
9	Renfrew Women	2	0	1	1	6	12	2
10	Dundee Utd (W)	2	0	1	1	5	8	1
11	Aberdeen (W)	2	0	0	2	4	6	0
12	Queens Park (W)	2	0	1	1	2	4	0
13	Boroughmuir Thistle (W)	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
14	Falkirk (W)	2	0	0	2	2	9	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Boroughmuir Thistle (W)	Queens Park (W)
Spartans (W)	0-2 L	1-1 D
Kilmarnock (W)	0-2 L	0-0 D
Gartcairn FC (W)	1-1 D	1-3 L
Dundee Utd (W)	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Queens Park (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Boroughmuir Thistle (W)

DWWWLWDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Spartans (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women	0-2	0-2	2	4	L
26/07	Kilmarnock (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
20/05	Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League Play-Offs	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
17/05	Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
03/05	Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	0-2	–	–	L
29/04	Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
24/04	Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	1-0	1-0	3	2	W
05/04	Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	3-2	–	–	W
01/04	Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	1-1	1-1	6	1	D

Queens Park (W)

LLWWWWDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women	0-1	1-3	5	1	L
26/07	Spartans (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
29/05	Aberdeen (W) Scotland Premier League Play-Offs Women	0-2	0-5	1	1	L
24/05	Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League Play-Offs	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
20/05	Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League Play-Offs	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
17/05	Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
10/05	Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	2-0	–	–	W
03/05	Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	–	2-1	–	–	W
29/04	Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
24/04	Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2	0-1	0-1	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boroughmuir Thistle (W) vs Queens Park (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boroughmuir Thistle (W) win (47%). Probabilities: Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 47%, draw 25%, Queens Park (W) 29%.

How many goals are expected in Boroughmuir Thistle (W) vs Queens Park (W)?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 1.73 · Queens Park (W) 1.31), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Boroughmuir Thistle (W) vs Queens Park (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.