Football · Scotland SWPL Cup Women · 09/08, 15:00
Prediction: Aberdeen (W) vs Spartans (W)
Team pages: Aberdeen (W) · Spartans (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Aberdeen (W)1.28
Spartans (W)1.8
1X2
Aberdeen (W)
Draw
Spartans (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Aberdeen (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Spartans (W)
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Aberdeen (W)
2–1–3
Spartans (W)
(6 last)
- Spartans (W)1-1Aberdeen (W)
- Aberdeen (W)2-4Spartans (W)
- Aberdeen (W)1-0Spartans (W)
- Spartans (W)3-1Aberdeen (W)
- Spartans (W)2-1Aberdeen (W)
- Aberdeen (W)2-0Spartans (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aberdeen (W) 1495 · Spartans (W) 1601
| Aberdeen (W) | Draw | Spartans (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 25% | 49% |
| Market | 29% | 20% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartans (W) (rating 1495 vs 1601).
- H2H favours Spartans (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aberdeen (W) | Spartans (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.7 | 2.3 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/11/33% | 80/0/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5 | 1.4 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aberdeen (W) 2–1–3 Spartans (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Spartans (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Aberdeen (W) |
| 13/04/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Aberdeen (W) | 2-4 HT 1-2 | Spartans (W) |
| 02/03/25 Scotland Premier League Women | Aberdeen (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Spartans (W) |
| 22/09/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Spartans (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Aberdeen (W) |
| 19/05/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Spartans (W) | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Aberdeen (W) |
| 17/03/24 Scotland Premier League Women | Aberdeen (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Spartans (W) |
Standings · Scotland SWPL Cup Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montrose LFC (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Hamilton (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Kilmarnock (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Motherwell (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Spartans (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Gartcairn FC (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Livingston (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 8 | St Johnstone (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 3 |
| 9 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Aberdeen (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Renfrew FC (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 2 |
| 12 | Dundee Utd (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| 13 | Queens Park (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 | Falkirk (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aberdeen (W) | Spartans (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Dundee Utd (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Queens Park (W) | 5-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aberdeen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | St Johnstone (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 26/07 | Hamilton (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/05 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Premier League Play-Offs Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 26/04 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 05/04 | Montrose LFC (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 22/03 | Hamilton (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 15/03 | Motherwell (W) Scotland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
Spartans (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Renfrew FC (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | Queens Park (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/04 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/04 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aberdeen (W) vs Spartans (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartans (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Aberdeen (W) 28%, draw 22%, Spartans (W) 50%.
How many goals are expected in Aberdeen (W) vs Spartans (W)?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Aberdeen (W) 1.28 · Spartans (W) 1.8), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Aberdeen (W) vs Spartans (W)?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.