Football · Scotland SWPL Cup Women · 09/08, 14:00
Prediction: Gartcairn FC (W) vs Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Team pages: Gartcairn FC (W) · Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Gartcairn FC (W)1.24
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)1.51
1X2
Gartcairn FC (W)
Draw
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Gartcairn FC (W)
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gartcairn FC (W)
0–3–3
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
(6 last)
- Boroughmuir Thistle (W)1-1Gartcairn FC (W)
- Gartcairn FC (W)1-1Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
- Boroughmuir Thistle (W)2-1Gartcairn FC (W)
- Boroughmuir Thistle (W)1-0Gartcairn FC (W)
- Boroughmuir Thistle (W)0-0Gartcairn FC (W)
- Gartcairn FC (W)1-3Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gartcairn FC (W) 1465 · Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 1521
| Gartcairn FC (W) | Draw | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 28% | 42% |
| Market | 33% | 22% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Boroughmuir Thistle (W) (rating 1465 vs 1521).
- H2H favours Boroughmuir Thistle (W): 3-3-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gartcairn FC (W) | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.7 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/25/25% | 50/17/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.3 | 2.8 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gartcairn FC (W) 0–3–3 Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 1-1 | Gartcairn FC (W) |
| 01/04/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Gartcairn FC (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) |
| 04/02/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Gartcairn FC (W) |
| 18/01/26 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gartcairn FC (W) |
| 07/09/25 Scotland SWPL Cup Women | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gartcairn FC (W) |
| 31/08/25 Scotland Women Premier League 2 | Gartcairn FC (W) | 1-3 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) |
Standings · Scotland SWPL Cup Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montrose LFC (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Hamilton (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Kilmarnock (W) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 4 | Motherwell (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Spartans (W) | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Gartcairn FC (W) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Livingston (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 8 | St Johnstone (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 3 |
| 9 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Aberdeen (W) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Renfrew FC (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 2 |
| 12 | Dundee Utd (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| 13 | Queens Park (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 | Falkirk (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gartcairn FC (W) | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Queens Park (W) | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Spartans (W) | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Kilmarnock (W) | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Dundee Utd (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Boroughmuir Thistle (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gartcairn FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Motherwell (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 02/08 | Queens Park (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Falkirk (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 01/04 | Boroughmuir Thistle (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
Boroughmuir Thistle (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Queens Park (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Spartans (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland SWPL Cup Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 20/05 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League Play-Offs |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Gartcairn FC (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Spartans (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/04 | Dundee Utd (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | Queens Park (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/04 | Kilmarnock (W) Scotland Women Premier League 2 |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gartcairn FC (W) vs Boroughmuir Thistle (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Boroughmuir Thistle (W) win (44%). Probabilities: Gartcairn FC (W) 31%, draw 25%, Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 44%.
How many goals are expected in Gartcairn FC (W) vs Boroughmuir Thistle (W)?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Gartcairn FC (W) 1.24 · Boroughmuir Thistle (W) 1.51), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Gartcairn FC (W) vs Boroughmuir Thistle (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.