Football · Bulgaria First League · 20/07, 20:30

Prediction: Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Botev Plovdiv1.56
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1.31
1X2
42% 28% 31%
Botev Plovdiv Draw Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Botev Plovdiv 6-0-4 (W-D-L)
LLWLWWWLWW
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
WLDWDDDWLW
Head-to-head
Botev Plovdiv 3–1–2 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Botev Plovdiv 1508 · Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 1528
Botev PlovdivDrawLokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Our model42%27%31%
Market41%28%30%
Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Botev Plovdiv: 3-1-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Botev PlovdivLokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 0.91.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.30.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%40/0/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.13.7 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.3 / 03.8 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Botev Plovdiv 312 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/03/26
Europe Friendlies
Botev Plovdiv3-1
HT 0-0
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
06/12/25
Bulgaria First League
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia3-2
HT 2-1
Botev Plovdiv
10/08/25
Bulgaria First League
Botev Plovdiv0-1
HT 0-1
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
18/04/25
Bulgaria First League
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1-1
HT 0-0
Botev Plovdiv
15/12/24
Bulgaria Cup
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia1-5
HT 0-3
Botev Plovdiv
08/11/24
Bulgaria First League
Botev Plovdiv2-0
HT 0-0
Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

Standings · Bulgaria First League

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Arda Kardzhali 000 000
1 CSKA 1948 Sofia 000 000
1 Dunav Ruse 000 000
1 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 000 000
1 Septemvri Sofia 000 000
1 Spartak Varna 000 000
1 Cherno More Varna 000 000
1 CSKA Sofia 000 000
1 Levski Sofia 000 000
1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 000 000
1 Ludogorets Razgrad 000 000
1 Slavia Sofia 000 000
1 Botev Plovdiv 000 000
1 Botev Vratsa 000 000

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBotev PlovdivLokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Beroe 4-0 W 1-1 D
Spartak Varna 1-0 W 0-3 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Botev Plovdiv (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Botev Plovdiv

LLWLWWWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Beroe
Club Friendly List
1-0 4-0 W
04/07 Spartak Varna
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 14 W
04/07 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Club Friendly List
0-1 1-2 L
27/06 KF Ballkani
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-0 20 W
26/06 Arda Kardzhali
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-1 35 W
23/06 Spartak Pleven
Club Friendly List
2-0 4-0 80 W
25/05 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgaria First League
1-1 1-2 65 L
16/05 Cherno More Varna
Bulgaria First League
1-0 5-0 41 W
12/05 Arda Kardzhali
Bulgaria First League
0-0 1-2 65 L
09/05 Cherno More Varna
Bulgaria First League
0-1 0-2 36 L

Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

WLDWDDDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 KF Drita
Europe Friendlies
0-1 2-1 44 W
22/05 Spartak Varna
Bulgaria First League
0-2 0-3 73 L
18/05 Slavia Sofia
Bulgaria First League
1-0 2-0 101 W
14/05 Beroe
Bulgaria First League
0-1 1-1 87 D
09/05 Montana
Bulgaria First League
0-2 2-2 33 D
05/05 Botev Vratsa
Bulgaria First League
0-2 2-2 77 D
01/05 PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Bulgaria First League
2-0 3-0 34 W
27/04 Septemvri Sofia
Bulgaria First League
1-0 1-1 43 D
14/04 Botev Vratsa
Bulgaria First League
2-1 2-3 63 L
09/04 Beroe
Bulgaria First League
0-1 2-1 105 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Botev Plovdiv win (42%). Probabilities: Botev Plovdiv 42%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 31%.

How many goals are expected in Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Botev Plovdiv 1.56 · Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 1.31), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.