Football · Bulgaria First League · 24/07, 20:15

Prediction: Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.47Total
Arda Kardzhali1.67
Slavia Sofia0.8
1X2
57% 26% 17%
Arda Kardzhali Draw Slavia Sofia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Arda Kardzhali 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LWWWLWLDLD
Slavia Sofia 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DDLWLLLWWW
Head-to-head
Arda Kardzhali 2–3–1 Slavia Sofia (6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Arda Kardzhali 1513 · Slavia Sofia 1487
Arda KardzhaliDrawSlavia Sofia
Our model57%26%17%
Market57%26%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Arda Kardzhali: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Arda KardzhaliSlavia Sofia
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.11.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.20.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%44/22/33%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.62.2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.12.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Arda Kardzhali 231 Slavia Sofia

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/02/26
Bulgaria First League
Arda Kardzhali2-1
HT 1-1
Slavia Sofia
25/08/25
Bulgaria First League
Slavia Sofia2-0
HT 2-0
Arda Kardzhali
22/02/25
Bulgaria First League
Arda Kardzhali1-1
HT 1-0
Slavia Sofia
30/08/24
Bulgaria First League
Slavia Sofia1-1
HT 0-1
Arda Kardzhali
23/05/24
Bulgaria First League
Arda Kardzhali3-1
HT 1-1
Slavia Sofia
06/05/24
Bulgaria First League
Slavia Sofia0-0
HT 0-0
Arda Kardzhali

Standings · Bulgaria First League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Levski Sofia 1100 213
2 Ludogorets Razgrad 1100 103
3 CSKA 1948 Sofia 1010 221
3 Spartak Varna 1010 221
5 Arda Kardzhali 1010 111
5 Septemvri Sofia 1010 111
5 Cherno More Varna 1010 111
5 Botev Vratsa 1010 111
9 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 0000 000
9 CSKA Sofia 0000 000
9 Slavia Sofia 0000 000
9 Botev Plovdiv 0000 000
13 Dunav Ruse 1001 120
14 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1001 010

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentArda KardzhaliSlavia Sofia
Septemvri Sofia 1-1 D 2-1 W
Botev Vratsa 0-1 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Slavia Sofia (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Arda Kardzhali

LWWWLWLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Septemvri Sofia
Bulgaria First League
1-0 1-1 25 D
10/07 Botev Vratsa
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-1 64 L
07/07 Beitar Jerusalem
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 20 D
04/07 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-2 43 L
01/07 Rilski Sportist
Club Friendly List
0-0 2-0 W
26/06 Botev Plovdiv
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-2 35 L
25/05 Cherno More Varna
Bulgaria First League
0-1 3-2 32 W
16/05 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgaria First League
3-0 4-0 42 W
12/05 Botev Plovdiv
Bulgaria First League
0-0 2-1 15 W
08/05 Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgaria First League
0-0 0-2 76 L

Slavia Sofia

DDLWLLLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/07 Montana
Europe Friendlies
3-0 7-2 61 W
08/07 CSM Slatina
Club Friendly List
3-2 W
22/05 Montana
Bulgaria First League
1-0 2-0 40 W
18/05 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Bulgaria First League
0-1 0-2 41 L
13/05 PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Bulgaria First League
0-1 0-2 74 L
10/05 Spartak Varna
Bulgaria First League
1-1 1-2 45 L
06/05 Septemvri Sofia
Bulgaria First League
1-0 2-1 29 W
02/05 Beroe
Bulgaria First League
0-1 0-3 63 L
26/04 Botev Vratsa
Bulgaria First League
1-0 1-1 74 D
16/04 Montana
Bulgaria First League
0-0 0-0 81 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Arda Kardzhali win (57%). Probabilities: Arda Kardzhali 57%, draw 26%, Slavia Sofia 17%.

How many goals are expected in Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Arda Kardzhali 1.67 · Slavia Sofia 0.8), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Arda Kardzhali vs Slavia Sofia?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.