Football · Bulgaria First League · 25/07, 18:00
Prediction: CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Vratsa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
CSKA 1948 Sofia1.64
Botev Vratsa0.68
1X2
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Draw
Botev Vratsa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
CSKA 1948 Sofia
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Botev Vratsa
5-5-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CSKA 1948 Sofia
3–2–1
Botev Vratsa
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CSKA 1948 Sofia 1557 · Botev Vratsa 1554
| CSKA 1948 Sofia | Draw | Botev Vratsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 26% | 14% |
| Market | 61% | 23% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours CSKA 1948 Sofia: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CSKA 1948 Sofia | Botev Vratsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/56/11% | 30/70/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 1.7 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 5.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CSKA 1948 Sofia 3–2–1 Botev Vratsa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/26 Bulgaria First League | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Botev Vratsa |
| 03/11/25 Bulgaria First League | Botev Vratsa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CSKA 1948 Sofia |
| 28/04/25 Bulgaria First League | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Botev Vratsa |
| 21/02/25 Bulgaria First League | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Botev Vratsa |
| 30/08/24 Bulgaria First League | Botev Vratsa | 0-3 HT 0-2 | CSKA 1948 Sofia |
| 04/04/24 Bulgaria First League | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Botev Vratsa |
Standings · Bulgaria First League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Ludogorets Razgrad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 3 | Spartak Varna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Septemvri Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Cherno More Varna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Botev Vratsa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | CSKA Sofia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Botev Plovdiv | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Dunav Ruse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CSKA 1948 Sofia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Spartak Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 07/07 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | NK Varazdin Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/07 | NK Maribor Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 29/06 | Partizan Belgrade Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | KF Drita Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | FK Egnatia Club Friendly List |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | Levski Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Ludogorets Razgrad Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 13/05 | CSKA Sofia Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Botev Vratsa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Cherno More Varna Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 10/07 | Arda Kardzhali Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 03/07 | Beitar Jerusalem Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 01/07 | Spartak Pleven Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 27/06 | Levski Sofia Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 22/05 | Beroe Bulgaria First League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 18/05 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Montana Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 05/05 | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Bulgaria First League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CSKA 1948 Sofia win (60%). Probabilities: CSKA 1948 Sofia 60%, draw 25%, Botev Vratsa 15%.
How many goals are expected in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
The model expects 2.32 goals (CSKA 1948 Sofia 1.64 · Botev Vratsa 0.68), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Botev Vratsa?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.