Prediction: Bologna vs Inter Milan
Team pages: Bologna · Inter Milan
- Bologna3-3Inter Milan
- Inter Milan3-1Bologna
- Bologna1-1Inter Milan
- Bologna1-0Inter Milan
- Inter Milan2-2Bologna
- Bologna0-1Inter Milan
| Bologna | Draw | Inter Milan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| Market | 20% | 23% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Inter Milan (rating 1483 vs 1608).
- H2H favours Inter Milan: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bologna | Inter Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 2.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.8 | 2.5 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bologna 1–3–2 Inter Milan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 3-3 HT 2-1 | Inter Milan |
| 04/01/26 Italy Serie A | Inter Milan | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Bologna |
| 19/12/25 Italy Super Cup | Bologna | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Inter Milan |
| 20/04/25 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Inter Milan |
| 15/01/25 Italy Serie A | Inter Milan | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Bologna |
| 09/03/24 Italy Serie A | Bologna | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Inter Milan |
Standings · Italy Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Napoli | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 10 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 15 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 4 |
| 16 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 4 |
| 17 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
| 19 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bologna | Inter Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Lazio | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Cagliari | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Inter Milan (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bologna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Lecce Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Torino Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 13/09 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Sassuolo Italy Serie A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/08 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Inter Milan Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Atalanta Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 11/05 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
Inter Milan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Parma Italy Serie A |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 19/09 | Roma Italy Serie A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 14/09 | Udinese Italy Serie A |
2-2 | 5-3 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Napoli Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 3-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Cagliari Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Monza Italy Serie A |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Bologna Italy Serie A |
1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Verona Italy Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 09/05 | Lazio Italy Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Parma Italy Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bologna vs Inter Milan?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Inter Milan win (57%). Probabilities: Bologna 20%, draw 24%, Inter Milan 57%.
How many goals are expected in Bologna vs Inter Milan?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Bologna 1.07 · Inter Milan 1.94), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Bologna vs Inter Milan?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.