Prediction: AGF Aarhus vs Brondby
| AGF Aarhus | Draw | Brondby | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 26% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AGF Aarhus (rating 1558 vs 1508).
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AGF Aarhus | Brondby | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.8 | 2.2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.5 | 2.1 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AGF Aarhus 2–2–2 Brondby
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Denmark Superligaen | Brondby | 0-2 HT 0-2 | AGF Aarhus |
| 22/03/26 Denmark Superligaen | AGF Aarhus | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Brondby |
| 19/10/25 Denmark Superligaen | Brondby | 3-3 HT 1-0 | AGF Aarhus |
| 21/09/25 Denmark Superligaen | AGF Aarhus | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Brondby |
| 25/05/25 Denmark Superligaen | AGF Aarhus | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Brondby |
| 07/04/25 Denmark Superligaen | Brondby | 2-1 HT 1-0 | AGF Aarhus |
Standings · Denmark Superligaen
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AC Horsens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | AGF Aarhus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brondby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Midtjylland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Nordsjaelland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lyngby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Odense BK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Randers FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Silkeborg IF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sonderjyske | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Viborg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AGF Aarhus | Brondby |
|---|---|---|
| Viborg | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Sonderjyske | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Midtjylland | 0-0 D | 3-2 W |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Brondby (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AGF Aarhus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | AC Horsens Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Motherwell Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Viborg Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Viborg Denmark Superligaen |
3-1 | 6-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Brondby Denmark Superligaen |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/04 | FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 20/04 | Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/04 | FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Brondby
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Hibernian Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Odense BK Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Nordsjaelland Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 28/06 | Hvidovre IF Europe Friendlies |
4-1 | 8-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 21/05 | FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 11 | D |
| 17/05 | Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen |
0-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | AGF Aarhus Denmark Superligaen |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 01/05 | FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 22/04 | Viborg Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AGF Aarhus vs Brondby?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AGF Aarhus win (43%). Probabilities: AGF Aarhus 43%, draw 26%, Brondby 30%.
How many goals are expected in AGF Aarhus vs Brondby?
The model expects 2.98 goals (AGF Aarhus 1.64 · Brondby 1.34), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in AGF Aarhus vs Brondby?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

