Football · Denmark Superligaen · 01/08, 18:00
Prediction: Lyngby vs AGF Aarhus
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Lyngby1.21
AGF Aarhus1.8
1X2
Lyngby
Draw
AGF Aarhus
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lyngby
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
AGF Aarhus
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Lyngby
0–1–5
AGF Aarhus
(6 last)
- AGF Aarhus2-1Lyngby
- Lyngby0-0AGF Aarhus
- Lyngby0-2AGF Aarhus
- AGF Aarhus1-0Lyngby
- Lyngby0-1AGF Aarhus
- AGF Aarhus1-0Lyngby
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lyngby 1550 · AGF Aarhus 1538
| Lyngby | Draw | AGF Aarhus | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| Market | 25% | 25% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours AGF Aarhus: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 13.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Lyngby | AGF Aarhus | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1.1 | 2 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/44/11% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.4 / 7.3 | 2.8 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lyngby 0–1–5 AGF Aarhus
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/24 Denmark Superligaen | AGF Aarhus | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Lyngby |
| 22/09/24 Denmark Superligaen | Lyngby | 0-0 HT 0-0 | AGF Aarhus |
| 22/10/23 Denmark Superligaen | Lyngby | 0-2 HT 0-1 | AGF Aarhus |
| 27/08/23 Denmark Superligaen | AGF Aarhus | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lyngby |
| 30/10/22 Denmark Superligaen | Lyngby | 0-1 HT 0-0 | AGF Aarhus |
| 15/08/22 Denmark Superligaen | AGF Aarhus | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Lyngby |
Standings · Denmark Superligaen
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viborg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | AGF Aarhus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2 | Brondby | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | AC Horsens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Copenhagen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Midtjylland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lyngby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Randers FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Silkeborg IF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sonderjyske | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Odense BK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lyngby
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Hillerød Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/07 | Osters IF Club Friendly List |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | B93 Copenhagen Europe Friendlies |
3-2 | 6-3 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 31/05 | Esbjerg Denmark Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | AC Horsens Denmark Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 15/05 | Kolding IF Denmark Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Hvidovre IF Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Hillerød Denmark Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/04 | Esbjerg Denmark Division 1 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 21/04 | Hillerød Denmark Division 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
AGF Aarhus
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Brondby Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 21/07 | Lech Poznan UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/07 | AC Horsens Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Motherwell Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Viborg Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | D |
| 17/05 | Viborg Denmark Superligaen |
3-1 | 6-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Brondby Denmark Superligaen |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Sonderjyske Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Midtjylland Denmark Superligaen |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/04 | FC Nordsjaelland Denmark Superligaen |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lyngby vs AGF Aarhus?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AGF Aarhus win (50%). Probabilities: Lyngby 25%, draw 25%, AGF Aarhus 50%.
How many goals are expected in Lyngby vs AGF Aarhus?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Lyngby 1.21 · AGF Aarhus 1.8), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Lyngby vs AGF Aarhus?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.