Football · Denmark Superligaen · 02/08, 18:00

Prediction: Silkeborg IF vs FC Copenhagen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

Silkeborg IF1.39

FC Copenhagen2.29

1X2

21% 23% 56%

Silkeborg IF Draw FC Copenhagen

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Silkeborg IF 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

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FC Copenhagen 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Silkeborg IF 1–1–4 FC Copenhagen (6 last)

Silkeborg IF0-4FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen7-0Silkeborg IF
Silkeborg IF3-1FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen3-3Silkeborg IF
FC Copenhagen3-0Silkeborg IF
Silkeborg IF0-3FC Copenhagen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Silkeborg IF 1516 · FC Copenhagen 1571

	Silkeborg IF	Draw	FC Copenhagen
Our model	22%	21%	57%
Market	21%	24%	56%

Estimated total (ours) 3.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Copenhagen (rating 1516 vs 1571).
H2H favours FC Copenhagen: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Silkeborg IF	FC Copenhagen
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.9	2.7 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.7	2.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.50

X3.90

21.67

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 1.25 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:20 +4’	4.50	3.90	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Silkeborg IF 1–1–4 FC Copenhagen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Denmark Superligaen	Silkeborg IF	0-4 HT 0-2	FC Copenhagen
05/04/26 Denmark Superligaen	FC Copenhagen	7-0 HT 4-0	Silkeborg IF
17/10/25 Denmark Superligaen	Silkeborg IF	3-1 HT 3-0	FC Copenhagen
21/09/25 Denmark Superligaen	FC Copenhagen	3-3 HT 2-1	Silkeborg IF
29/05/25 Denmark Cup	FC Copenhagen	3-0 HT 3-0	Silkeborg IF
01/02/25 Europe Friendlies	Silkeborg IF	0-3 HT 0-1	FC Copenhagen

Standings · Denmark Superligaen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Copenhagen	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
1	Midtjylland	1	1	0	0	3	2	3
3	Viborg	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
4	AC Horsens	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
4	AGF Aarhus	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
4	Brondby	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
4	FC Nordsjaelland	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
8	Randers FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Silkeborg IF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lyngby	1	0	0	1	2	3	0
10	Sonderjyske	1	0	0	1	2	3	0
12	Odense BK	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Silkeborg IF	FC Copenhagen
Midtjylland	2-4 L	0-1 L
Randers FC	2-0 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Copenhagen (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Silkeborg IF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/07	AaB Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-1	1	3	W
11/07	Thisted FC Europe Friendlies	2-0	6-0	7	1	W
08/07	Aarhus Fremad Europe Friendlies	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
04/07	Midtjylland Europe Friendlies	0-2	2-4	4	1	L
17/05	FC Fredericia Denmark Superligaen	0-3	1-4	6	2	L
10/05	FC Copenhagen Denmark Superligaen	0-2	0-4	2	1	L
03/05	Odense BK Denmark Superligaen	1-1	3-2	3	1	W
26/04	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
22/04	Vejle Denmark Superligaen	0-0	2-1	4	6	W
19/04	FC Fredericia Denmark Superligaen	2-0	2-2	5	1	D

FC Copenhagen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Lyngby Denmark Superligaen	1-2	3-2	5	4	W
23/07	Polissya Zhytomyr UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-2	3-3	3	4	D
16/07	Viborg Europe Friendlies	1-1	2-1	8	2	W
11/07	AC Horsens Europe Friendlies	3-1	3-2	1	2	W
07/07	Viktoria Plzen Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	5	2	D
27/06	Mjällby AIF Europe Friendlies	3-2	5-3	7	2	W
21/05	Brondby Denmark Superligaen	0-0	1-1	9	11	D
17/05	Randers FC Denmark Superligaen	3-0	5-0	6	1	W
14/05	Midtjylland Denmark Cup	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
10/05	Silkeborg IF Denmark Superligaen	2-0	4-0	5	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Silkeborg IF vs FC Copenhagen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Copenhagen win (56%). Probabilities: Silkeborg IF 21%, draw 23%, FC Copenhagen 56%.

How many goals are expected in Silkeborg IF vs FC Copenhagen?

The model expects 3.68 goals (Silkeborg IF 1.39 · FC Copenhagen 2.29), with a 59% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Silkeborg IF vs FC Copenhagen?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.